GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over PLGO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

PLGO

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limit

58
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential36/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

PLGO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

PLGO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PLGO's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PLGO.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over PLGO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PLGO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.5x9.0x14x18x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.5x9.0x14x18x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.9x$20.62-28%
Fair6.8x$23.72-18%
Forward7.6x$28.83—
Current8.3x$28.83—
Expensive10x$34.97+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLGO's PE is in its fair range at 8.3x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.6x next year's earnings.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PLGO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PLGO, but weaker profitability.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PLGO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PLGO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$32.54
Downside-23%$22.12

Calculated from the latest close: $28.83 on Nov 12.

PLGO trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $69.58 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

PLGO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $18.65Q4 2024: $0.98Q1 2025: $-0.09Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.01Q4 2025: $2.11Q1 2026: $3.64Q2 2026: $3.98Q3 2026: $3.48Forward: $3.77
Q4 2023: $18.65Q4 2024: $0.98Q1 2025: $-0.09Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.01Q4 2025: $2.11Q1 2026: $3.64Q2 2026: $3.98Q3 2026: $3.48Forward: $3.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.77+8.3%
Q3 2026$3.48+$3.49
Q2 2026$3.98+$4.35
Q1 2026$3.64+$3.73
Q4 2025$2.11+115%
Q4 2024$0.98-95%

PLGO has returned to profit: it earned $3.48 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over PLGO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PLGO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $520MQ2 2024: $540MQ3 2024: $686MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $658MQ2 2025: $589MQ3 2025: $652MQ4 2025: $601MQ1 2026: $611MQ2 2026: $650MQ3 2026: $801M
Q4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $520MQ2 2024: $540MQ3 2024: $686MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $658MQ2 2025: $589MQ3 2025: $652MQ4 2025: $601MQ1 2026: $611MQ2 2026: $650MQ3 2026: $801M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$800.9M+23%
Q2 2026$650M+10%
Q1 2026$610.6M-7.3%
Q4 2025$600.9M-11%
Q3 2025$651.9M-5%
Q2 2025$589.3M+9.1%
Q1 2025$658.4M+27%
Q4 2024$673.8M-81%

PLGO's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $801M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

PLGO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $489MQ1 2024: −$36MQ2 2024: $207MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $125MQ1 2025: −$433MQ2 2025: −$359MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $274MQ2 2026: −$27MQ3 2026: $134M
Q4 2023: $489MQ1 2024: −$36MQ2 2024: $207MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $125MQ1 2025: −$433MQ2 2025: −$359MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $274MQ2 2026: −$27MQ3 2026: $134M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$133.7M-14%
Q2 2026-$26.7M+$332.6M
Q1 2026$273.6M+$707M
Q4 2025$228.6M+82%
Q3 2025$154.6M-51%
Q2 2025-$359.3M-274%
Q1 2025-$433.4M-$397.8M
Q4 2024$125.4M-74%

PLGO has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has 301M diluted shares, down 4.4% from a year ago, with $15B in buybacks over the past year.

PLGO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 114MQ1 2024: 118MQ2 2024: 118MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 116MQ1 2025: 112MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 105MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 94MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 83M
Q4 2023: 114MQ1 2024: 118MQ2 2024: 118MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 116MQ1 2025: 112MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 105MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 94MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 83M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.5%-2.1M shares
1 year-21%-22M shares
3 years-29%-33.5M shares

PLGO has the edge over GS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over PLGO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PLGO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ4 2024: -2.0xQ1 2025: -30.9xQ3 2025: -3.7xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ4 2024: -2.0xQ1 2025: -30.9xQ3 2025: -3.7xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-30.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2023-0.1xNet Cash

PLGO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PLGO.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

PLGO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI74.5Overbought
Stochastic91.0Overbought

PLGO's weekly RSI is 75 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 91 (overbought).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

PLGO PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPLGOSector medianRelative
PE8.3x13x36% below
PE %644618 pts above

PLGO has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

PLGO has stronger trend alignment. GS is above 3 of 5 weekly averages versus PLGO above 4 of 4.

PLGO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.812% above
20 week MA$25.314% above
50 week MA$22.230% above
100 week MA$19.548% above

PLGO is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 48% above its 100-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

PLGO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$13.7$12.7-7.3%
2024$12.7$17.6+39%
2025$17.6$19.5+11%
2026 YTD$19.5$28.8+48%

PLGO has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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