GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
GS has a slight edge over OBT overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
OBT
Orange County Bancorp, Inc.
OBT offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
GS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.
OBT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
OBT's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OBT.
GS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.6x | $528 | -42% |
| Current | 13x | $914 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $914 | — |
| Fair | 14x | $940 | +2.9% |
| Expensive | 17x | $1,214 | +33% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
OBT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.9x | $33.19 | -17% |
| Fair | 10x | $37.40 | -6.2% |
| Current | 11x | $39.86 | — |
| Forward | 11x | $39.86 | — |
| Expensive | 12x | $43.61 | +9.4% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
OBT has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
OBT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OBT, with profitability improving.
GS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $72.35 | +4% |
| Q3 2026 | $69.58 | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $64.82 | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $54.75 | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.32 | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $49.22 | +44% |
| Q2 2025 | $45.37 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $43.08 | +68% |
| Q4 2024 | $40.54 | +77% |
GS has the edge over OBT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
OBT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.65 | -2.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.74 | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.56 | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.41 | +41% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.33 | +35% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.02 | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.56 | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.42 | -23% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.47 | -5.7% |
OBT earned $3.74 per share over the past year, up 24% from the year before.
GS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.7B | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.3B | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.5B | -3% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.2B | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.6B | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.1B | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.9B | +23% |
GS has the edge over OBT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 37% | +2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 42% | +8.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 38% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 44% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 36% | +4.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +3.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 37% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 38% | +18 points |
GS's operating margin was 37% last quarter, up 2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
OBT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $35.3M | +4.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $27.8M | -14% |
| Q1 2026 | $32.1M | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $33M | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $33.7M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $32.5M | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $28M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $27.4M | +5.8% |
OBT's revenue is growing: $35M last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 49% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 42% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 45% | +5.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 41% | +8.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 39% | +24 points |
| Q2 2025 | 42% | +5.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | -5.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 33% | -8.6 points |
OBT has the edge over GS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +72% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.6B | +7.8% |
| Q1 2026 | -$32.4B | +$5.3B |
| Q4 2025 | -$16.8B | -136% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1B | +$40.6B |
| Q2 2025 | $5.2B | -6.8% |
| Q1 2025 | -$37.7B | -$9.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $46.2B | +$75.1B |
GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.
OBT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26.5M | -11% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.3M | +$18M |
| Q1 2026 | $9.7M | +123% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.1M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $29.6M | +197% |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.7M | -162% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.3M | +117% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.7M | -24% |
OBT has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
GS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -3.8M shares |
| 1 year | -4.4% | -13.9M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -42.8M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -52.8M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -74.4M shares |
GS has the edge over OBT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B |
| Q2 2026 | $4B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $3B |
| Q3 2025 | $2B |
| Q2 2025 | $3B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B |
GS spent $15B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 32% from the year before.
OBT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +2.2K shares |
| 1 year | +0.3% | +45.7K shares |
| 3 years | +19% | +2.1M shares |
| 5 years | +27% | +2.9M shares |
OBT has 13M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
GS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -6.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.7x | Net Cash |
GS has the edge over OBT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
OBT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -5.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -4.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
OBT has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OBT.
GS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.3 | Oversold |
GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
OBT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 66.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 70.7 | Neutral |
OBT's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).
GS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | GS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 0.8% above |
| PE % | 46 | 63 | 17 pts below |
GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.
OBT PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | OBT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 13x | 18% below |
| PE % | 67 | 63 | 4 pts above |
OBT has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.
GS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $895.5 | 2% above |
| 20 week MA | $977.4 | 6.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $945.4 | 3.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $804.5 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $602.7 | 52% above |
GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.
OBT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $38.3 | 4.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $38.2 | 4.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $34.9 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $30.2 | 32% above |
| 200 week MA | $27.1 | 47% above |
OBT has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $230.7 | $256.2 | +11% |
| 2021 | $256.2 | $385.0 | +50% |
| 2022 | $385.0 | $345.5 | -10% |
| 2023 | $345.5 | $385.8 | +12% |
| 2024 | $385.8 | $576.2 | +49% |
| 2025 | $576.2 | $907.0 | +57% |
| 2026 YTD | $907.0 | $913.6 | +0.7% |
GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.
OBT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.7 | $13.6 | -7.3% |
| 2021 | $13.6 | $19.7 | +45% |
| 2022 | $19.7 | $23.3 | +18% |
| 2023 | $23.3 | $30.1 | +29% |
| 2024 | $30.1 | $27.4 | -8.9% |
| 2025 | $27.4 | $28.7 | +4.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $28.7 | $39.9 | +39% |
OBT has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.