GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NTRS

Northern Trust Corporation

68
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NTRS has the edge over GS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

NTRS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

NTRS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NTRS.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NTRS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$155-13%
Current14x$178—
Forward14x$178—
Fair15x$188+6%
Expensive18x$235+32%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NTRS has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over NTRS on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

NTRS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect NTRS's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails NTRS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NTRS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$222.03
Downside-9%$162.08

Calculated from the latest close: $177.67 on Nov 12.

NTRS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over NTRS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NTRS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.08Q1 2024: $4.53Q2 2024: $7.31Q3 2024: $8.04Q4 2024: $9.77Q1 2025: $10.71Q2 2025: $8.50Q3 2025: $8.57Q4 2025: $8.74Q1 2026: $9.55Q2 2026: $11.65Q3 2026: $12.76Forward: $12.59
Q4 2023: $5.08Q1 2024: $4.53Q2 2024: $7.31Q3 2024: $8.04Q4 2024: $9.77Q1 2025: $10.71Q2 2025: $8.50Q3 2025: $8.57Q4 2025: $8.74Q1 2026: $9.55Q2 2026: $11.65Q3 2026: $12.76Forward: $12.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.59-1.3%
Q3 2026$12.76+49%
Q2 2026$11.65+37%
Q1 2026$9.55-11%
Q4 2025$8.74-11%
Q3 2025$8.57+6.6%
Q2 2025$8.50+16%
Q1 2025$10.71+136%
Q4 2024$9.77+92%

NTRS earned $12.76 per share over the past year, up 49% from the year before.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over NTRS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NTRS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+13%
Q2 2026$2.7B+35%
Q1 2026$2.2B+14%
Q4 2025$2.1B+8.3%
Q3 2025$2B+2.9%
Q2 2025$2B-26%
Q1 2025$1.9B+18%
Q4 2024$2B+27%

NTRS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $2.3B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

NTRS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $585MQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $509MQ4 2025: $356MQ1 2026: −$329MQ2 2026: −$90MQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $585MQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $509MQ4 2025: $356MQ1 2026: −$329MQ2 2026: −$90MQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B+254%
Q2 2026-$90.3M-105%
Q1 2026-$329.4M-112%
Q4 2025$355.6M+$3B
Q3 2025$509.4M-13%
Q2 2025$1.9B-37%
Q1 2025$2.7B+$4.2B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-198%

NTRS has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over NTRS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NTRS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 205MQ2 2024: 204MQ3 2024: 201MQ4 2024: 202MQ1 2025: 196MQ2 2025: 193MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 192MQ1 2026: 187MQ2 2026: 185MQ3 2026: 183M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 205MQ2 2024: 204MQ3 2024: 201MQ4 2024: 202MQ1 2025: 196MQ2 2025: 193MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 192MQ1 2026: 187MQ2 2026: 185MQ3 2026: 183M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-1.7M shares
1 year-4.1%-7.8M shares
3 years-12%-24.1M shares
5 years-12%-25.7M shares
Available history-15%-32.4M shares

NTRS has 183M diluted shares, down 4.1% from a year ago, with $1.4B in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over NTRS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NTRS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.4x
Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20252.2xModerate
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.0xVery low
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20242.0xHealthy

NTRS's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NTRS.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

NTRS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic37.9Neutral

NTRS's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over NTRS on valuation relative to its sector.

NTRS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNTRSSector medianRelative
PE14x13x7% above
PE %426321 pts below

NTRS is trading at 14x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

NTRS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$171.13.9% above
20 week MA$178.90.7% below
50 week MA$162.49.4% above
100 week MA$138.628% above
200 week MA$111.260% above

NTRS has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

NTRS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$107.0$91.6-14%
2021$91.6$118.2+29%
2022$118.2$88.0-26%
2023$88.0$84.4-4.1%
2024$84.4$103.8+23%
2025$103.8$140.1+35%
2026 YTD$140.1$177.7+27%

NTRS has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key