GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over NODK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

NODK

NI Holdings, Inc.

53
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NODK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

NODK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
N/A
N/A

NODK's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NODK.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over NODK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NODK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE151x303x454x606x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE151x303x454x606x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$7.54-50%
Fair17x$12.02-20%
Current21x$14.97—
Expensive96x$69.38+363%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NODK's PE is in its fair range at 21x.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NODK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for NODK to show an outlook.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails NODK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NODK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$18.54
Downside-9%$13.64

Calculated from the latest close: $14.97 on Nov 12.

NODK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over NODK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NODK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.26Q1 2024: $0.24Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.46Q4 2024: $-0.29Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $0.09Q3 2025: $0.14Q4 2025: $-0.50Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $0.37Q3 2026: $0.72
Q4 2023: $-0.26Q1 2024: $0.24Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.46Q4 2024: $-0.29Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $0.09Q3 2025: $0.14Q4 2025: $-0.50Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $0.37Q3 2026: $0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.72+414%
Q2 2026$0.37+311%
Q1 2026-$0.21+$0.07
Q4 2025-$0.50-$0.21
Q3 2025$0.14+$0.60
Q2 2025$0.09+$0.41
Q1 2025-$0.28-217%
Q4 2024-$0.29-$0.03

NODK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.72 over the past year, against $2.47 in early 2021.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over NODK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NODK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $74MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $77MQ4 2025: $61MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $69M
Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $74MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $77MQ4 2025: $61MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $69M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$68.6M-10%
Q2 2026$70.2M-7.7%
Q1 2026$59.6M-17%
Q4 2025$61M-17%
Q3 2025$76.6M-14%
Q2 2025$76.1M-13%
Q1 2025$71.4M-22%
Q4 2024$73.9M-22%

NODK's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $69M last quarter, down 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS has the edge over NODK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NODK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: −$45MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $893,000Q3 2026: −$15M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: −$45MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $893,000Q3 2026: −$15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$15.3M+$29.6M
Q2 2026$893K-86%
Q1 2026-$1.9M-119%
Q4 2025$13.2M-38%
Q3 2025-$44.8M-$26.7M
Q2 2025$6.2M-65%
Q1 2025$9.9M-39%
Q4 2024$21.5M-26%

NODK's free cash flow was −$3M over the past year, against −$7M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NODK.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over NODK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NODK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 21M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 21M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-58.4K shares
1 year-0.9%-185K shares
3 years-1.8%-377K shares
5 years-2.8%-595K shares
Available history-6.5%-1.4M shares

NODK has 21M diluted shares, down 0.9% from a year ago.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over NODK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NODK Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -6.2xQ2 2024: -4.1xQ3 2024: -4.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ3 2025: -4.4xQ2 2026: -4.1xQ3 2026: -2.1x
Q1 2024: -6.2xQ2 2024: -4.1xQ3 2024: -4.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ3 2025: -4.4xQ2 2026: -4.1xQ3 2026: -2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-4.5xNet Cash
Q2 2024-4.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-6.2xNet Cash
Q4 2021-5.3xNet Cash

NODK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NODK.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

NODK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.8Neutral
Stochastic29.3Neutral

NODK's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over NODK on valuation relative to its sector.

NODK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNODKSector medianRelative
PE21x13x60% above
PE %54639 pts below

NODK is trading at 21x earnings, a 60% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

NODK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.90.2% above
20 week MA$15.31.8% below
50 week MA$14.34.8% above
100 week MA$13.97.4% above
200 week MA$14.06.6% above

NODK has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

NODK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.3$16.7-3.5%
2021$16.7$19.0+14%
2022$19.0$13.4-30%
2023$13.4$13.0-2.8%
2024$13.0$15.7+21%
2025$15.7$13.5-14%
2026 YTD$13.5$15.0+11%

NODK has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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