NODK

NI Holdings, Inc.

53
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NODK's fundamentals are mixed: its operating margin rose 6 points to 7.7%, but revenue fell 13%. At 21x earnings, it's trading above its usual 17x.

NODK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
N/A
N/A

NODK's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NODK.

NODK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE151x303x454x606x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE151x303x454x606x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$7.54-50%
Fair17x$12.02-20%
Current21x$14.97—
Expensive96x$69.38+363%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NODK's PE is in its fair range at 21x.

NODK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for NODK to show an outlook.

NODK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$18.54
Downside-9%$13.64

Calculated from the latest close: $14.97 on Nov 12.

NODK's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +24% against −8.9%.

NODK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.26Q1 2024: $0.24Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.46Q4 2024: $-0.29Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $0.09Q3 2025: $0.14Q4 2025: $-0.50Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $0.37Q3 2026: $0.72
Q4 2023: $-0.26Q1 2024: $0.24Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.46Q4 2024: $-0.29Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $0.09Q3 2025: $0.14Q4 2025: $-0.50Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $0.37Q3 2026: $0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.72+414%
Q2 2026$0.37+311%
Q1 2026-$0.21+$0.07
Q4 2025-$0.50-$0.21
Q3 2025$0.14+$0.60
Q2 2025$0.09+$0.41
Q1 2025-$0.28-217%
Q4 2024-$0.29-$0.03

NODK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.72 over the past year, against $2.47 in early 2021.

NODK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $74MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $77MQ4 2025: $61MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $69M
Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $74MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $77MQ4 2025: $61MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $69M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$68.6M-10%
Q2 2026$70.2M-7.7%
Q1 2026$59.6M-17%
Q4 2025$61M-17%
Q3 2025$76.6M-14%
Q2 2025$76.1M-13%
Q1 2025$71.4M-22%
Q4 2024$73.9M-22%

NODK's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $69M last quarter, down 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

NODK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: −$45MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $893,000Q3 2026: −$15M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: −$45MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $893,000Q3 2026: −$15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$15.3M+$29.6M
Q2 2026$893K-86%
Q1 2026-$1.9M-119%
Q4 2025$13.2M-38%
Q3 2025-$44.8M-$26.7M
Q2 2025$6.2M-65%
Q1 2025$9.9M-39%
Q4 2024$21.5M-26%

NODK's free cash flow was −$3M over the past year, against −$7M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NODK.

NODK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 21M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 21M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-58.4K shares
1 year-0.9%-185K shares
3 years-1.8%-377K shares
5 years-2.8%-595K shares
Available history-6.5%-1.4M shares

NODK has 21M diluted shares, down 0.9% from a year ago.

NODK Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -6.2xQ2 2024: -4.1xQ3 2024: -4.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ3 2025: -4.4xQ2 2026: -4.1xQ3 2026: -2.1x
Q1 2024: -6.2xQ2 2024: -4.1xQ3 2024: -4.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ3 2025: -4.4xQ2 2026: -4.1xQ3 2026: -2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-4.5xNet Cash
Q2 2024-4.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-6.2xNet Cash
Q4 2021-5.3xNet Cash

NODK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NODK.

NODK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.8Neutral
Stochastic29.3Neutral

NODK's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

NODK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNODKSector medianRelative
PE21x13x60% above
PE %54639 pts below

NODK is trading at 21x earnings, a 60% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

NODK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.90.2% above
20 week MA$15.31.8% below
50 week MA$14.34.8% above
100 week MA$13.97.4% above
200 week MA$14.06.6% above

NODK's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 6.6% above its 200-week average.

NODK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.3$16.7-3.5%
2021$16.7$19.0+14%
2022$19.0$13.4-30%
2023$13.4$13.0-2.8%
2024$13.0$15.7+21%
2025$15.7$13.5-14%
2026 YTD$13.5$15.0+11%

NODK has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 11% so far in 2026.

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