GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over NIC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

NIC

Nicolet Bankshares, Inc.

51
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

NIC offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

NIC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

NIC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NIC.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NIC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x16x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x16x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$108-38%
Forward13x$174—
Fair14x$125-28%
Expensive17x$157-10%
Current19x$174—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NIC has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NIC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NIC, with profitability holding steady.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails NIC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside for the same potential downside.

NIC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$213.87
Downside-14%$149.08

Calculated from the latest close: $174.12 on Nov 12.

NIC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside for the same potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over NIC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NIC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.08Q1 2024: $6.51Q2 2024: $6.92Q3 2024: $7.88Q4 2024: $8.05Q1 2025: $8.31Q2 2025: $8.73Q3 2025: $9.36Q4 2025: $9.78Q1 2026: $8.51Q2 2026: $8.79Q3 2026: $9.02Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $4.08Q1 2024: $6.51Q2 2024: $6.92Q3 2024: $7.88Q4 2024: $8.05Q1 2025: $8.31Q2 2025: $8.73Q3 2025: $9.36Q4 2025: $9.78Q1 2026: $8.51Q2 2026: $8.79Q3 2026: $9.02Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+48%
Q3 2026$9.02-3.6%
Q2 2026$8.79+0.7%
Q1 2026$8.51+2.4%
Q4 2025$9.78+21%
Q3 2025$9.36+19%
Q2 2025$8.73+26%
Q1 2025$8.31+28%
Q4 2024$8.05+97%

NIC earned $9.02 per share over the past year, down 3.6% from the year before.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $89MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $85MQ3 2024: $91MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $89MQ2 2025: $96MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $104MQ1 2026: $135MQ2 2026: $178MQ3 2026: $174M
Q4 2023: $89MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $85MQ3 2024: $91MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $89MQ2 2025: $96MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $104MQ1 2026: $135MQ2 2026: $178MQ3 2026: $174M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$174.4M+70%
Q2 2026$177.8M+86%
Q1 2026$134.9M+51%
Q4 2025$104M+13%
Q3 2025$102.9M+13%
Q2 2025$95.7M+13%
Q1 2025$89.4M+8.8%
Q4 2024$92.4M+4.2%

NIC's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $174M last quarter, up 70% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

NIC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $67M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $67M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$67.1M+46%
Q2 2026$89.3M+133%
Q1 2026$15.1M-64%
Q4 2025$23.9M-15%
Q3 2025$45.9M+32%
Q2 2025$38.4M+12%
Q1 2025$41.3M+106%
Q4 2024$28.1M-19%

NIC has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over NIC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 22M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 22M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-186K shares
1 year+40%+6.1M shares
3 years+44%+6.6M shares
5 years+109%+11.2M shares
Available history+118%+11.6M shares

NIC has 22M diluted shares, up 40% from a year ago, despite $103M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over NIC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NIC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.0xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

NIC has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NIC.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

NIC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.4Neutral
Stochastic64.4Neutral

NIC's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over NIC on valuation relative to its sector.

NIC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNICSector medianRelative
PE19x13x48% above
PE %906327 pts above

NIC is trading at 19x earnings, a 48% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

NIC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$169.03.1% above
20 week MA$170.02.4% above
50 week MA$153.913% above
100 week MA$137.327% above
200 week MA$108.860% above

NIC has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

NIC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$74.6$68.0-8.9%
2021$68.0$87.0+28%
2022$87.0$80.9-6.9%
2023$80.9$80.5-0.6%
2024$80.5$104.6+30%
2025$104.6$123.7+18%
2026 YTD$123.7$174.1+41%

NIC has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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