GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over NBHC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

NBHC

National Bank Holdings Corporation

37
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation12/ 100
Upside potential15/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

NBHC's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

NBHC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
N/A
N/A

NBHC's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NBHC.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over NBHC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NBHC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.6x$37.04—
Cheap11x$13.75-63%
Fair13x$16.12-56%
Expensive15x$19.14-48%
Current29x$37.04—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NBHC's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.6x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NBHC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NBHC has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NBHC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NBHC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+6%$39.41
Downside-37%$23.50

Calculated from the latest close: $37.04 on Nov 12.

NBHC trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over NBHC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NBHC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.72Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $3.31Q3 2024: $3.23Q4 2024: $3.08Q1 2025: $2.89Q2 2025: $3.09Q3 2025: $3.15Q4 2025: $2.85Q1 2026: $2.68Q2 2026: $2.38Q3 2026: $1.26Forward: $3.87
Q4 2023: $3.72Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $3.31Q3 2024: $3.23Q4 2024: $3.08Q1 2025: $2.89Q2 2025: $3.09Q3 2025: $3.15Q4 2025: $2.85Q1 2026: $2.68Q2 2026: $2.38Q3 2026: $1.26Forward: $3.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.87+207%
Q3 2026$1.26-60%
Q2 2026$2.38-23%
Q1 2026$2.68-7.3%
Q4 2025$2.85-7.5%
Q3 2025$3.15-2.5%
Q2 2025$3.09-6.6%
Q1 2025$2.89-17%
Q4 2024$3.08-17%

NBHC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.26 over the past year, against $3.72 in late 2023.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over NBHC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NBHC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $101MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $109MQ4 2025: $101MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $126M
Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $101MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $109MQ4 2025: $101MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $126M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$126.4M+16%
Q2 2026$129.1M+24%
Q1 2026$126.8M+24%
Q4 2025$100.6M-0.6%
Q3 2025$108.9M+2.7%
Q2 2025$104.5M+7%
Q1 2025$102.1M+0.3%
Q4 2024$101.3M-4.1%

NBHC's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $126M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

NBHC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: −$57MQ2 2026: $135MQ3 2026: $66M
Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: −$57MQ2 2026: $135MQ3 2026: $66M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$66.1M+26%
Q2 2026$135.1M+318%
Q1 2026-$56.8M-243%
Q4 2025$38.1M-18%
Q3 2025$52.4M+12%
Q2 2025$32.3M+1.3%
Q1 2025$39.6M+32%
Q4 2024$46.4M+4%

NBHC has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over NBHC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NBHC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-157K shares
1 year+18%+6.7M shares
3 years+17%+6.6M shares
5 years+44%+13.7M shares
Available history+42%+13.2M shares

NBHC has 45M diluted shares, up 18% from a year ago, despite $41M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over NBHC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NBHC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -2.9xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -1.7xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.6x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -2.9xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -1.7xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

NBHC has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NBHC.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

NBHC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.0Neutral
Stochastic6.4Oversold

NBHC's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over NBHC on valuation relative to its sector.

NBHC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNBHCSector medianRelative
PE29x13x126% above
PE %1006337 pts above

NBHC is trading at 29x earnings, a 126% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over NBHC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NBHC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.02.6% below
20 week MA$41.09.7% below
50 week MA$41.09.6% below
100 week MA$39.87% below
200 week MA$38.22.9% below

NBHC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 2.9% below its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over NBHC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NBHC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.3$33.1-6.3%
2021$33.1$43.5+32%
2022$43.5$42.1-3.3%
2023$42.1$37.2-12%
2024$37.2$43.2+16%
2025$43.2$38.8-10%
2026 YTD$38.8$37.0-4.6%

NBHC has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 4.6% so far in 2026.

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