GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over MKL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MKL

Markel Corporation

43
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

MKL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

MKL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

MKL's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MKL.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MKL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE191x382x573x764x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE191x382x573x764x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.7x$1,086-45%
Fair10x$1,458-26%
Current14x$1,962—
Forward17x$1,962—
Expensive30x$4,191+114%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MKL has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over MKL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

MKL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MKL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MKL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MKL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+8%$2,127.80
Downside-18%$1,606.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,962.08 on Nov 12.

MKL trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over MKL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MKL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $146.98Q1 2024: $185.15Q2 2024: $153.68Q3 2024: $216.79Q4 2024: $199.32Q1 2025: $135.97Q2 2025: $167.02Q3 2025: $160.02Q4 2025: $169.22Q1 2026: $138.24Q2 2026: $181.33Q3 2026: $140.23Forward: $118.42
Q4 2023: $146.98Q1 2024: $185.15Q2 2024: $153.68Q3 2024: $216.79Q4 2024: $199.32Q1 2025: $135.97Q2 2025: $167.02Q3 2025: $160.02Q4 2025: $169.22Q1 2026: $138.24Q2 2026: $181.33Q3 2026: $140.23Forward: $118.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$118.42-16%
Q3 2026$140.23-12%
Q2 2026$181.33+8.6%
Q1 2026$138.24+1.7%
Q4 2025$169.22-15%
Q3 2025$160.02-26%
Q2 2025$167.02+8.7%
Q1 2025$135.97-27%
Q4 2024$199.32+36%

MKL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $140.23 over the past year, against $216.79 in late 2024.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over MKL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MKL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.5BQ2 2024: $3.7BQ3 2024: $4.6BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $3.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $3.9BQ4 2025: $4BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4.2B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.5BQ2 2024: $3.7BQ3 2024: $4.6BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $3.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $3.9BQ4 2025: $4BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.2B+5.7%
Q2 2026$4B-13%
Q1 2026$3.6B+4.5%
Q4 2025$4B+4.3%
Q3 2025$3.9B-15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+24%
Q1 2025$3.4B-24%
Q4 2024$3.8B-17%

MKL's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $4.2B last quarter, up 5.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

MKL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $719MQ1 2024: $559MQ2 2024: $521MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $420MQ1 2025: $335MQ2 2025: $454MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $599MQ1 2026: −$31MQ2 2026: $385MQ3 2026: $849M
Q4 2023: $719MQ1 2024: $559MQ2 2024: $521MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $420MQ1 2025: $335MQ2 2025: $454MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $599MQ1 2026: −$31MQ2 2026: $385MQ3 2026: $849M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$849.5M-27%
Q2 2026$384.5M-15%
Q1 2026-$31.4M-109%
Q4 2025$599.1M+43%
Q3 2025$1.2B+39%
Q2 2025$453.8M-13%
Q1 2025$335.5M-40%
Q4 2024$420M-42%

MKL has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over MKL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MKL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 12M
Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 12M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-145K shares
1 year-1.2%-155K shares
3 years-6.7%-898K shares
5 years-9.7%-1.3M shares
Available history-10%-1.4M shares

MKL has 12M diluted shares, down 1.2% from a year ago, with $771M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

MKL Net Leverage

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

MKL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.1Neutral
Stochastic71.7Neutral

MKL's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over MKL on valuation relative to its sector.

MKL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMKLSector medianRelative
PE14x13x7.5% above
PE %72639 pts above

MKL is trading at 14x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

MKL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,839.66.7% above
20 week MA$1,861.05.4% above
50 week MA$1,928.61.7% above
100 week MA$1,914.72.5% above
200 week MA$1,694.016% above

MKL has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over MKL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MKL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1,122.4$990.9-12%
2021$990.9$1,208.7+22%
2022$1,208.7$1,307.6+8.2%
2023$1,307.6$1,419.9+8.6%
2024$1,419.9$1,740.4+23%
2025$1,740.4$2,181.5+25%
2026 YTD$2,181.5$1,962.1-10%

MKL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

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