GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has a slight edge over MCO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

MCO

Moody's Corporation

64
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

MCO has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

MCO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

MCO's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MCO.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MCO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x38x51x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x38x51x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward28x$507—
Cheap30x$495-2.3%
Current31x$507—
Fair35x$576+14%
Expensive44x$719+42%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MCO has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MCO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

MCO has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails MCO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MCO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$622.32
Downside-12%$444.38

Calculated from the latest close: $506.56 on Nov 12.

MCO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over MCO on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MCO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.73Q1 2024: $9.16Q2 2024: $10.13Q3 2024: $10.95Q4 2024: $11.26Q1 2025: $11.57Q2 2025: $11.76Q3 2025: $12.43Q4 2025: $13.67Q1 2026: $13.94Q2 2026: $15.76Q3 2026: $16.40Forward: $17.98
Q4 2023: $8.73Q1 2024: $9.16Q2 2024: $10.13Q3 2024: $10.95Q4 2024: $11.26Q1 2025: $11.57Q2 2025: $11.76Q3 2025: $12.43Q4 2025: $13.67Q1 2026: $13.94Q2 2026: $15.76Q3 2026: $16.40Forward: $17.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$17.98+9.6%
Q3 2026$16.40+32%
Q2 2026$15.76+34%
Q1 2026$13.94+20%
Q4 2025$13.67+21%
Q3 2025$12.43+14%
Q2 2025$11.76+16%
Q1 2025$11.57+26%
Q4 2024$11.26+29%

MCO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $16.40 over the past year, up 32% from the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

MCO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+0.8%
Q2 2026$2.2B+15%
Q1 2026$2.1B+8.1%
Q4 2025$1.9B+13%
Q3 2025$2B+11%
Q2 2025$1.9B+4.5%
Q1 2025$1.9B+7.7%
Q4 2024$1.7B+13%

MCO's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $2B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

MCO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $404MQ1 2024: $697MQ2 2024: $593MQ3 2024: $631MQ4 2024: $600MQ1 2025: $672MQ2 2025: $468MQ3 2025: $658MQ4 2025: $777MQ1 2026: $844MQ2 2026: $688MQ3 2026: $668M
Q4 2023: $404MQ1 2024: $697MQ2 2024: $593MQ3 2024: $631MQ4 2024: $600MQ1 2025: $672MQ2 2025: $468MQ3 2025: $658MQ4 2025: $777MQ1 2026: $844MQ2 2026: $688MQ3 2026: $668M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$668M+1.5%
Q2 2026$688M+47%
Q1 2026$844M+26%
Q4 2025$777M+29%
Q3 2025$658M+4.3%
Q2 2025$468M-21%
Q1 2025$672M-3.6%
Q4 2024$600M+49%

MCO has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over MCO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MCO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 184MQ1 2024: 183MQ2 2024: 183MQ3 2024: 183MQ4 2024: 183MQ1 2025: 181MQ2 2025: 180MQ3 2025: 180MQ4 2025: 180MQ1 2026: 177MQ2 2026: 175MQ3 2026: 173M
Q4 2023: 184MQ1 2024: 183MQ2 2024: 183MQ3 2024: 183MQ4 2024: 183MQ1 2025: 181MQ2 2025: 180MQ3 2025: 180MQ4 2025: 180MQ1 2026: 177MQ2 2026: 175MQ3 2026: 173M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-1.2M shares
1 year-3.5%-6.3M shares
3 years-5.8%-10.7M shares
5 years-7.5%-14M shares
Available history-9.6%-18.3M shares

MCO has 173M diluted shares, down 3.5% from a year ago, with $3B in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over MCO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MCO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

MCO's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MCO.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

MCO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.2Neutral
Stochastic70.3Neutral

MCO's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over MCO on valuation relative to its sector.

MCO PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMCOSector medianRelative
PE31x13x137% above
PE %226341 pts below

MCO is trading at 31x earnings, a 137% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

MCO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$481.15.3% above
20 week MA$485.34.4% above
50 week MA$474.16.8% above
100 week MA$477.96% above
200 week MA$428.718% above

MCO has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over MCO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MCO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$239.3$278.9+17%
2021$278.9$397.3+42%
2022$397.3$278.8-30%
2023$278.8$390.6+40%
2024$390.6$476.8+22%
2025$476.8$520.0+9.1%
2026 YTD$520.0$506.6-2.6%

MCO has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 2.6% so far in 2026.

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