MCO
Moody's Corporation
MCO's fundamentals are strong: earnings per share grew 32% and its operating margin rose 3 points to 45%. At 31x earnings, it's trading below its usual 35x. Analysts expect earnings growth.
MCO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MCO's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MCO.
MCO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 28x | $507 | — |
| Cheap | 30x | $495 | -2.3% |
| Current | 31x | $507 | — |
| Fair | 35x | $576 | +14% |
| Expensive | 44x | $719 | +42% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MCO's PE is in its cheap range at 31x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 28x next year's earnings.
MCO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MCO, with profitability improving.
MCO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $17.98 | +9.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $16.40 | +32% |
| Q2 2026 | $15.76 | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.94 | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.67 | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.43 | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.76 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.57 | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.26 | +29% |
MCO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $16.40 over the past year, up 32% from the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.
MCO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2B | +0.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.2B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.1B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $2B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | +4.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +7.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +13% |
MCO's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $2B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 45% | -0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +4.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 44% | +0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 41% | +7.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 46% | +5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 43% | +0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 44% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | -0.1 points |
MCO's operating margin was 45% last quarter, down 0.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MCO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $668M | +1.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $688M | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $844M | +26% |
| Q4 2025 | $777M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $658M | +4.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $468M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $672M | -3.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $600M | +49% |
MCO's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 24% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MCO.
MCO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.7% | -1.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.5% | -6.3M shares |
| 3 years | -5.8% | -10.7M shares |
| 5 years | -7.5% | -14M shares |
| Available history | -9.6% | -18.3M shares |
MCO has 173M diluted shares, down 3.5% from a year ago, with $3B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $388M |
| Q2 2026 | $694M |
| Q1 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $437M |
| Q3 2025 | $513M |
| Q2 2025 | $284M |
| Q1 2025 | $373M |
| Q4 2024 | $480M |
MCO spent $3B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 81% from the year before.
MCO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
MCO's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MCO.
MCO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 70.3 | Neutral |
MCO's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).
MCO PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MCO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31x | 13x | 137% above |
| PE % | 22 | 63 | 41 pts below |
MCO is trading at 31x earnings, a 137% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MCO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $481.1 | 5.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $485.3 | 4.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $474.1 | 6.8% above |
| 100 week MA | $477.9 | 6% above |
| 200 week MA | $428.7 | 18% above |
MCO is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 18% above its 200-week average.
MCO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $239.3 | $278.9 | +17% |
| 2021 | $278.9 | $397.3 | +42% |
| 2022 | $397.3 | $278.8 | -30% |
| 2023 | $278.8 | $390.6 | +40% |
| 2024 | $390.6 | $476.8 | +22% |
| 2025 | $476.8 | $520.0 | +9.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $520.0 | $506.6 | -2.6% |
MCO has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 2.6% so far in 2026.