GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over MBIN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

MBIN

Merchants Bancorp

59
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

MBIN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

MBIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MBIN's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MBIN.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MBIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.7x10x13x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.7x10x13x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.6x$33.76-37%
Fair6.3x$38.13-29%
Expensive8.1x$49.06-8.4%
Current8.8x$53.56—
Forward9.1x$53.56—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MBIN has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MBIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MBIN, with profitability improving.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails MBIN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MBIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$72.72
Downside-16%$45.19

Calculated from the latest close: $53.56 on Nov 12.

MBIN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over MBIN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MBIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.64Q1 2024: $6.37Q2 2024: $6.55Q3 2024: $6.04Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $5.43Q2 2025: $4.54Q3 2025: $4.34Q4 2025: $3.78Q1 2026: $4.10Q2 2026: $4.98Q3 2026: $6.07Forward: $5.86
Q4 2023: $5.64Q1 2024: $6.37Q2 2024: $6.55Q3 2024: $6.04Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $5.43Q2 2025: $4.54Q3 2025: $4.34Q4 2025: $3.78Q1 2026: $4.10Q2 2026: $4.98Q3 2026: $6.07Forward: $5.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.86-3.4%
Q3 2026$6.07+40%
Q2 2026$4.98+9.7%
Q1 2026$4.10-24%
Q4 2025$3.78-40%
Q3 2025$4.34-28%
Q2 2025$4.54-31%
Q1 2025$5.43-15%
Q4 2024$6.30+12%

MBIN earned $6.07 per share over the past year, up 40% from the year before.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over MBIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MBIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: $194MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: $179MQ3 2025: $171MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $225M
Q4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: $194MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: $179MQ3 2025: $171MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $225M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$224.9M+31%
Q2 2026$182.2M+1.7%
Q1 2026$175.2M+20%
Q4 2025$185.3M-4.4%
Q3 2025$171.1M+14%
Q2 2025$179.2M+12%
Q1 2025$145.9M-13%
Q4 2024$193.8M+22%

MBIN's revenue is growing: $225M last quarter, up 31% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS has the edge over MBIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MBIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $710MQ1 2024: −$386MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: −$497MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: −$126MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: −$402MQ1 2026: −$598MQ2 2026: $211MQ3 2026: $617M
Q4 2023: $710MQ1 2024: −$386MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: −$497MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: −$126MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: −$402MQ1 2026: −$598MQ2 2026: $211MQ3 2026: $617M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$616.9M+2472%
Q2 2026$210.9M+$336.5M
Q1 2026-$598.5M-524%
Q4 2025-$401.7M-$385.4M
Q3 2025$24M+$521.2M
Q2 2025-$125.7M-374%
Q1 2025$141.2M+$527.3M
Q4 2024-$16.3M-102%

MBIN's free cash flow was −$172M over the past year, against $23M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MBIN.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over MBIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MBIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+27K shares
1 year+0.2%+82.8K shares
3 years+6.2%+2.7M shares
5 years+6.3%+2.7M shares
Available history+6.8%+2.9M shares

MBIN has 46M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over MBIN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MBIN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

MBIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MBIN.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

MBIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.0Neutral
Stochastic56.3Neutral

MBIN's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

MBIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMBINSector medianRelative
PE8.8x13x32% below
PE %866323 pts above

MBIN has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

MBIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$50.85.5% above
20 week MA$51.53.9% above
50 week MA$46.216% above
100 week MA$40.333% above
200 week MA$37.941% above

MBIN has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

MBIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.0$18.6+43%
2021$18.6$31.5+70%
2022$31.5$24.5-22%
2023$24.5$42.6+74%
2024$42.6$36.3-15%
2025$36.3$33.7-7.2%
2026 YTD$33.7$53.6+59%

MBIN has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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