GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over MAIN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

MAIN

Main Street Capital Corporation

46
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

MAIN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

MAIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
N/A
N/A

MAIN's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MAIN.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MAIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x60x90x120x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x60x90x120x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.3x$44.46-21%
Fair12x$56.85+1.1%
Current12x$56.23—
Expensive15x$70.68+26%
Forward15x$56.23—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MAIN has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over MAIN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

MAIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect MAIN's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MAIN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MAIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$65.34
Downside-14%$48.47

Calculated from the latest close: $56.23 on Nov 12.

MAIN trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over MAIN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MAIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.14Q1 2024: $4.17Q2 2024: $4.12Q3 2024: $4.13Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.05Q2 2025: $4.03Q3 2025: $4.00Q4 2025: $3.99Q1 2026: $3.91Q2 2026: $4.50Q3 2026: $4.78Forward: $3.76
Q4 2023: $4.14Q1 2024: $4.17Q2 2024: $4.12Q3 2024: $4.13Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.05Q2 2025: $4.03Q3 2025: $4.00Q4 2025: $3.99Q1 2026: $3.91Q2 2026: $4.50Q3 2026: $4.78Forward: $3.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.76-21%
Q3 2026$4.78+20%
Q2 2026$4.50+12%
Q1 2026$3.91-3.5%
Q4 2025$3.99-2.4%
Q3 2025$4.00-3.1%
Q2 2025$4.03-2.2%
Q1 2025$4.05-2.9%
Q4 2024$4.09-1.2%

MAIN earned $4.78 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 23% for GS versus down 57% for MAIN.

MAIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$55.5M-57%
Q1 2022$97.5M+20%
Q4 2021$135.5M+32%
Q3 2021$123.7M+22%
Q2 2021$129.7M+129%
Q4 2020$102.8M+183%

MAIN's revenue has held roughly level: $56M last quarter, down 57% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS has the edge over MAIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MAIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $154MQ1 2024: −$118MQ2 2024: −$186MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $145MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $91MQ4 2025: −$218MQ1 2026: −$139MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $71M
Q4 2023: $154MQ1 2024: −$118MQ2 2024: −$186MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $145MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $91MQ4 2025: −$218MQ1 2026: −$139MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $71M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$71.5M-21%
Q2 2026$116.6M+14%
Q1 2026-$138.5M-$118.1M
Q4 2025-$218.5M-251%
Q3 2025$90.6M+25%
Q2 2025$102.5M+$289M
Q1 2025-$20.4M+$97.7M
Q4 2024$145M-5.6%

MAIN's free cash flow was −$169M over the past year, against $318M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MAIN.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over MAIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MAIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 86MQ3 2024: 87MQ4 2024: 87MQ1 2025: 89MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 91MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 94M
Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 86MQ3 2024: 87MQ4 2024: 87MQ1 2025: 89MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 91MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 94M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+503K shares
1 year+4.6%+4.1M shares
3 years+13%+10.8M shares
5 years+36%+24.7M shares
Available history+47%+30M shares

MAIN has 94M diluted shares, up 4.6% from a year ago.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

MAIN Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20226.1xHigh
Q1 20224.8xHigh
Q4 20214.8xHigh
Q3 20214.1xHigh
Q2 20214.2xHigh
Q1 20214.9xHigh
Q4 202071.9xHigh
Q4 20198.0xHigh

MAIN's net debt is about 6.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MAIN.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

MAIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.8Neutral
Stochastic52.2Neutral

MAIN's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

MAIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMAINSector medianRelative
PE12x13x9.7% below
PE %466317 pts below

MAIN has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

MAIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$55.02.3% above
20 week MA$55.61.1% above
50 week MA$56.10.2% above
100 week MA$57.82.7% below
200 week MA$51.39.7% above

MAIN has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over MAIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MAIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$43.4$31.1-28%
2021$31.1$44.0+41%
2022$44.0$36.8-16%
2023$36.8$43.2+18%
2024$43.2$57.9+34%
2025$57.9$60.8+5%
2026 YTD$60.8$56.2-7.5%

MAIN has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 7.5% so far in 2026.

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