GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

KEY

KeyCorp

68
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

KEY has the edge over GS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

KEY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

KEY's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like KEY.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

KEY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE418x836x1253x1671x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE418x836x1253x1671x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.9x$14.34-33%
Forward10x$21.33—
Fair11x$20.72-2.9%
Current12x$21.33—
Expensive17x$30.68+44%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KEY has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

KEY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

KEY has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails KEY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

KEY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$28.04
Downside-12%$18.80

Calculated from the latest close: $21.33 on Nov 12.

KEY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over KEY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KEY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.89Q1 2024: $0.79Q2 2024: $0.77Q3 2024: $0.01Q4 2024: $-0.32Q1 2025: $-0.19Q2 2025: $-0.09Q3 2025: $0.79Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.63Q2 2026: $1.72Q3 2026: $1.82Forward: $2.09
Q4 2023: $0.89Q1 2024: $0.79Q2 2024: $0.77Q3 2024: $0.01Q4 2024: $-0.32Q1 2025: $-0.19Q2 2025: $-0.09Q3 2025: $0.79Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.63Q2 2026: $1.72Q3 2026: $1.82Forward: $2.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.09+15%
Q3 2026$1.82+130%
Q2 2026$1.72+$1.81
Q1 2026$1.63+$1.82
Q4 2025$1.52+$1.84
Q3 2025$0.79+7800%
Q2 2025-$0.09-112%
Q1 2025-$0.19-124%
Q4 2024-$0.32-136%

KEY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.82 over the past year, against $2.63 in late 2021.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over KEY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

KEY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $683MQ4 2024: $855MQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $683MQ4 2024: $855MQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+8.4%
Q2 2026$2B+6.8%
Q1 2026$1.9B+10%
Q4 2025$2B+134%
Q3 2025$1.9B+176%
Q2 2025$1.8B+21%
Q1 2025$1.8B+16%
Q4 2024$855M-44%

KEY's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $2B last quarter, up 8.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

KEY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $994MQ1 2024: $347MQ2 2024: −$230MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: −$150MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $367MQ4 2025: $673MQ1 2026: −$74MQ2 2026: $233MQ3 2026: $684M
Q4 2023: $994MQ1 2024: $347MQ2 2024: −$230MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: −$150MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $367MQ4 2025: $673MQ1 2026: −$74MQ2 2026: $233MQ3 2026: $684M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$684M+86%
Q2 2026$233M-81%
Q1 2026-$74M+$76M
Q4 2025$673M-61%
Q3 2025$367M+$1.6B
Q2 2025$1.2B+$1.4B
Q1 2025-$150M-143%
Q4 2024$1.7B+71%

KEY has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over KEY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

KEY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 933MQ1 2024: 937MQ2 2024: 938MQ3 2024: 949MQ4 2024: 950MQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 933MQ1 2024: 937MQ2 2024: 938MQ3 2024: 949MQ4 2024: 950MQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-15.7M shares
1 year-4.2%-46.4M shares
3 years+14%+133M shares
5 years+12%+112M shares
Available history+6.2%+62M shares

KEY has 1.1B diluted shares, down 4.2% from a year ago.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over KEY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

KEY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 13.4xQ1 2024: 15.4xQ2 2024: 12.4xQ3 2024: 37.8xQ1 2025: 21.2xQ2 2025: 9.4xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 2.4xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2023: 13.4xQ1 2024: 15.4xQ2 2024: 12.4xQ3 2024: 37.8xQ1 2025: 21.2xQ2 2025: 9.4xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 2.4xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.4xModerate
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20259.4xHigh
Q1 202521.2xHigh
Q3 202437.8xHigh

KEY's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like KEY.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

KEY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.1Neutral
Stochastic41.1Neutral

KEY's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

KEY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricKEYSector medianRelative
PE12x13x10% below
PE %55638 pts below

KEY has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

KEY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.63.4% above
20 week MA$21.71.9% below
50 week MA$21.40.5% below
100 week MA$19.311% above
200 week MA$16.728% above

KEY's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 28% above its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over KEY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

KEY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.3$16.2-20%
2021$16.2$22.7+40%
2022$22.7$17.2-24%
2023$17.2$14.4-16%
2024$14.4$17.2+19%
2025$17.2$21.2+23%
2026 YTD$21.2$21.3+0.7%

KEY has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

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