GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over HOMB overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

HOMB

Home Bancshares, Inc.

55
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

HOMB has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

HOMB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

HOMB's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOMB.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

HOMB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.7x11x17x23x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.7x11x17x23x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$27.65-7.8%
Current12x$30.00—
Forward12x$30.00—
Fair13x$30.64+2.1%
Expensive15x$37.44+25%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOMB has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HOMB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect HOMB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails HOMB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOMB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$35.05
Downside-12%$26.38

Calculated from the latest close: $30.00 on Nov 12.

HOMB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over HOMB on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

HOMB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.94Q1 2024: $1.93Q2 2024: $1.92Q3 2024: $1.93Q4 2024: $2.01Q1 2025: $2.09Q2 2025: $2.18Q3 2025: $2.31Q4 2025: $2.41Q1 2026: $2.43Q2 2026: $2.42Q3 2026: $2.44Forward: $2.58
Q4 2023: $1.94Q1 2024: $1.93Q2 2024: $1.92Q3 2024: $1.93Q4 2024: $2.01Q1 2025: $2.09Q2 2025: $2.18Q3 2025: $2.31Q4 2025: $2.41Q1 2026: $2.43Q2 2026: $2.42Q3 2026: $2.44Forward: $2.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.58+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.44+5.6%
Q2 2026$2.42+11%
Q1 2026$2.43+16%
Q4 2025$2.41+20%
Q3 2025$2.31+20%
Q2 2025$2.18+14%
Q1 2025$2.09+8.3%
Q4 2024$2.01+3.6%

HOMB's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.44 over the past year, up 5.6% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOMB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $246MQ1 2024: $246MQ2 2024: $255MQ3 2024: $258MQ4 2024: $258MQ1 2025: $260MQ2 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $278MQ4 2025: $282MQ1 2026: $267MQ2 2026: $295MQ3 2026: $288M
Q4 2023: $246MQ1 2024: $246MQ2 2024: $255MQ3 2024: $258MQ4 2024: $258MQ1 2025: $260MQ2 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $278MQ4 2025: $282MQ1 2026: $267MQ2 2026: $295MQ3 2026: $288M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$288.4M+3.9%
Q2 2026$295.1M+8.9%
Q1 2026$266.7M+2.5%
Q4 2025$282.1M+9.2%
Q3 2025$277.7M+7.6%
Q2 2025$271M+6.5%
Q1 2025$260.1M+5.6%
Q4 2024$258.4M+5.2%

HOMB's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $288M last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

HOMB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $114MQ1 2024: $146MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $110MQ2 2025: $70MQ3 2025: $112MQ4 2025: $84MQ1 2026: $139MQ2 2026: $94MQ3 2026: $160M
Q4 2023: $114MQ1 2024: $146MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $110MQ2 2025: $70MQ3 2025: $112MQ4 2025: $84MQ1 2026: $139MQ2 2026: $94MQ3 2026: $160M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$160M+43%
Q2 2026$94.1M+34%
Q1 2026$139.3M+26%
Q4 2025$84.2M+38%
Q3 2025$112.2M-3.4%
Q2 2025$70.4M-29%
Q1 2025$110.1M-24%
Q4 2024$60.9M-46%

HOMB has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over HOMB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOMB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 203MQ1 2024: 201MQ2 2024: 200MQ3 2024: 199MQ4 2024: 200MQ1 2025: 199MQ2 2025: 198MQ3 2025: 197MQ4 2025: 198MQ1 2026: 197MQ2 2026: 201MQ3 2026: 200M
Q4 2023: 203MQ1 2024: 201MQ2 2024: 200MQ3 2024: 199MQ4 2024: 200MQ1 2025: 199MQ2 2025: 198MQ3 2025: 197MQ4 2025: 198MQ1 2026: 197MQ2 2026: 201MQ3 2026: 200M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-1.4M shares
1 year+1.4%+2.8M shares
3 years-1.3%-2.6M shares
5 years+22%+35.4M shares
Available history+19%+32.2M shares

HOMB has 200M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago, despite $109M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over HOMB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HOMB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20252.2xModerate
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20242.4xModerate

HOMB's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOMB.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

HOMB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.2Neutral
Stochastic56.5Neutral

HOMB's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

HOMB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOMBSector medianRelative
PE12x13x5.5% below
PE %426321 pts below

HOMB has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

HOMB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.42.1% above
20 week MA$29.90.4% above
50 week MA$28.64.9% above
100 week MA$28.55.2% above
200 week MA$26.314% above

HOMB has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

HOMB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.6$19.7+0.6%
2021$19.7$24.4+24%
2022$24.4$22.8-6.3%
2023$22.8$25.3+11%
2024$25.3$28.4+12%
2025$28.4$28.4-0.2%
2026 YTD$28.4$30.0+5.8%

HOMB has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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