HOMB

Home Bancshares, Inc.

55
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

HOMB's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 6.1%, while its operating margin held steady at 55%. At 12x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect earnings growth.

HOMB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

HOMB's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOMB.

HOMB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.7x11x17x23x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.7x11x17x23x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$27.65-7.8%
Current12x$30.00—
Forward12x$30.00—
Fair13x$30.64+2.1%
Expensive15x$37.44+25%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOMB's PE is in its fair range at 12.3x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11.6x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

HOMB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect HOMB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

HOMB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$35.05
Downside-12%$26.38

Calculated from the latest close: $30.00 on Nov 12.

HOMB's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +17% against −12%.

HOMB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.94Q1 2024: $1.93Q2 2024: $1.92Q3 2024: $1.93Q4 2024: $2.01Q1 2025: $2.09Q2 2025: $2.18Q3 2025: $2.31Q4 2025: $2.41Q1 2026: $2.43Q2 2026: $2.42Q3 2026: $2.44Forward: $2.58
Q4 2023: $1.94Q1 2024: $1.93Q2 2024: $1.92Q3 2024: $1.93Q4 2024: $2.01Q1 2025: $2.09Q2 2025: $2.18Q3 2025: $2.31Q4 2025: $2.41Q1 2026: $2.43Q2 2026: $2.42Q3 2026: $2.44Forward: $2.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.58+5.7%
Q3 2026$2.44+5.6%
Q2 2026$2.42+11%
Q1 2026$2.43+16%
Q4 2025$2.41+20%
Q3 2025$2.31+20%
Q2 2025$2.18+14%
Q1 2025$2.09+8.3%
Q4 2024$2.01+3.6%

HOMB's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.44 over the past year, up 5.6% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

HOMB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $246MQ1 2024: $246MQ2 2024: $255MQ3 2024: $258MQ4 2024: $258MQ1 2025: $260MQ2 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $278MQ4 2025: $282MQ1 2026: $267MQ2 2026: $295MQ3 2026: $288M
Q4 2023: $246MQ1 2024: $246MQ2 2024: $255MQ3 2024: $258MQ4 2024: $258MQ1 2025: $260MQ2 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $278MQ4 2025: $282MQ1 2026: $267MQ2 2026: $295MQ3 2026: $288M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$288.4M+3.9%
Q2 2026$295.1M+8.9%
Q1 2026$266.7M+2.5%
Q4 2025$282.1M+9.2%
Q3 2025$277.7M+7.6%
Q2 2025$271M+6.5%
Q1 2025$260.1M+5.6%
Q4 2024$258.4M+5.2%

HOMB's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $288M last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOMB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $114MQ1 2024: $146MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $110MQ2 2025: $70MQ3 2025: $112MQ4 2025: $84MQ1 2026: $139MQ2 2026: $94MQ3 2026: $160M
Q4 2023: $114MQ1 2024: $146MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $110MQ2 2025: $70MQ3 2025: $112MQ4 2025: $84MQ1 2026: $139MQ2 2026: $94MQ3 2026: $160M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$160M+43%
Q2 2026$94.1M+34%
Q1 2026$139.3M+26%
Q4 2025$84.2M+38%
Q3 2025$112.2M-3.4%
Q2 2025$70.4M-29%
Q1 2025$110.1M-24%
Q4 2024$60.9M-46%

HOMB's free cash flow was $478M over the past year, up 35% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOMB.

HOMB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 203MQ1 2024: 201MQ2 2024: 200MQ3 2024: 199MQ4 2024: 200MQ1 2025: 199MQ2 2025: 198MQ3 2025: 197MQ4 2025: 198MQ1 2026: 197MQ2 2026: 201MQ3 2026: 200M
Q4 2023: 203MQ1 2024: 201MQ2 2024: 200MQ3 2024: 199MQ4 2024: 200MQ1 2025: 199MQ2 2025: 198MQ3 2025: 197MQ4 2025: 198MQ1 2026: 197MQ2 2026: 201MQ3 2026: 200M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-1.4M shares
1 year+1.4%+2.8M shares
3 years-1.3%-2.6M shares
5 years+22%+35.4M shares
Available history+19%+32.2M shares

HOMB has 200M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago, despite $109M in buybacks over the past year.

HOMB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20252.2xModerate
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20242.4xModerate

HOMB's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOMB.

HOMB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.2Neutral
Stochastic56.5Neutral

HOMB's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

HOMB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOMBSector medianRelative
PE12x13x5.5% below
PE %426321 pts below

HOMB is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

HOMB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.42.1% above
20 week MA$29.90.4% above
50 week MA$28.64.9% above
100 week MA$28.55.2% above
200 week MA$26.314% above

HOMB is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% above its 200-week average.

HOMB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.6$19.7+0.6%
2021$19.7$24.4+24%
2022$24.4$22.8-6.3%
2023$22.8$25.3+11%
2024$25.3$28.4+12%
2025$28.4$28.4-0.2%
2026 YTD$28.4$30.0+5.8%

HOMB has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 5.8% so far in 2026.

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