GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
GS has the edge over HGTY overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
HGTY
Hagerty, Inc.
HGTY's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
GS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.
HGTY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HGTY's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HGTY.
GS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.6x | $528 | -42% |
| Current | 13x | $914 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $914 | — |
| Fair | 14x | $940 | +2.9% |
| Expensive | 17x | $1,214 | +33% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GS has the edge over HGTY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
HGTY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $15.80 | — |
| Cheap | 43x | $2.60 | -84% |
| Fair | 50x | $3.00 | -81% |
| Expensive | 138x | $8.26 | -48% |
| Current | 244x | $15.80 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HGTY's PE is in its expensive range at 244x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
GS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
HGTY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
HGTY has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
GS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $72.35 | +4% |
| Q3 2026 | $69.58 | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $64.82 | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $54.75 | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.32 | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $49.22 | +44% |
| Q2 2025 | $45.37 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $43.08 | +68% |
| Q4 2024 | $40.54 | +77% |
GS has the edge over HGTY in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
HGTY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.53 | +775% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.06 | -79% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.09 | -57% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.20 | -4.8% |
HGTY earned $0.06 per share over the past year, down 79% from the year before.
GS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.7B | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.3B | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.5B | -3% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.2B | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.6B | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.1B | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.9B | +23% |
GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 37% | +2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 42% | +8.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 38% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 44% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 36% | +4.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +3.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 37% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 38% | +18 points |
GS has the edge over HGTY on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HGTY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $354.2M | -6.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $354.8M | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $311.8M | -2.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $357.3M | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $380M | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $368.7M | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $319.6M | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $291.7M | +19% |
HGTY's revenue has held roughly level: $354M last quarter, down 6.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 12% | +2.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6% | -12 points |
| Q1 2026 | -6.7% | -15 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | +9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9% | +5.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.1% | +3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.1% | +4.7 points |
HGTY's operating margin was 12% last quarter, up 2.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
GS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +72% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.6B | +7.8% |
| Q1 2026 | -$32.4B | +$5.3B |
| Q4 2025 | -$16.8B | -136% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1B | +$40.6B |
| Q2 2025 | $5.2B | -6.8% |
| Q1 2025 | -$37.7B | -$9.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $46.2B | +$75.1B |
GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.
HGTY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $86.4M | +1.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $161.7M | +239% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.5M | -78% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.1M | +$39.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $85.2M | +37% |
| Q2 2025 | $47.7M | -16% |
| Q1 2025 | $38.4M | -28% |
| Q4 2024 | -$16.7M | -$13.3M |
HGTY has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
GS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -3.8M shares |
| 1 year | -4.4% | -13.9M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -42.8M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -52.8M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -74.4M shares |
GS has the edge over HGTY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B |
| Q2 2026 | $4B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $3B |
| Q3 2025 | $2B |
| Q2 2025 | $3B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B |
GS spent $15B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 32% from the year before.
HGTY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.9% | -3.1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.7% | -2.3M shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +3.8M shares |
| 5 years | +1065% | +314M shares |
HGTY has 344M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
GS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -6.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.7x | Net Cash |
GS has the edge over HGTY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HGTY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.0x | Very low |
HGTY has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HGTY.
GS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.3 | Oversold |
GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
HGTY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 74.7 | Neutral |
HGTY's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).
GS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | GS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 0.8% above |
| PE % | 46 | 63 | 17 pts below |
GS has the edge over HGTY on valuation relative to its sector.
HGTY PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HGTY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 244x | 13x | 1,776% above |
| PE % | 99 | 66 | 33 pts above |
HGTY is trading at 244x earnings, a 1776% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
GS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $895.5 | 2% above |
| 20 week MA | $977.4 | 6.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $945.4 | 3.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $804.5 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $602.7 | 52% above |
GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.
HGTY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.2 | 3.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $13.8 | 15% above |
| 50 week MA | $12.4 | 27% above |
| 100 week MA | $11.4 | 38% above |
| 200 week MA | $10.4 | 52% above |
HGTY has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $230.7 | $256.2 | +11% |
| 2021 | $256.2 | $385.0 | +50% |
| 2022 | $385.0 | $345.5 | -10% |
| 2023 | $345.5 | $385.8 | +12% |
| 2024 | $385.8 | $576.2 | +49% |
| 2025 | $576.2 | $907.0 | +57% |
| 2026 YTD | $907.0 | $913.6 | +0.7% |
GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.
HGTY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $9.77 | $13.7 | +40% |
| 2022 | $13.7 | $7.95 | -42% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $7.80 | -1.9% |
| 2024 | $7.80 | $9.83 | +26% |
| 2025 | $9.83 | $13.8 | +41% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.8 | $15.8 | +14% |
HGTY has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.