GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GSHD

Goosehead Insurance, Inc

71
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation86/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

GSHD has the edge over GS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

GSHD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

GSHD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GSHD.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

GSHD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1165x2329x3494x4658x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1165x2329x3494x4658x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$45.66—
Current33x$45.66—
Cheap70x$95.30+109%
Fair187x$256+461%
Expensive400x$548+1100%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GSHD has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GSHD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

GSHD has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails GSHD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GSHD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+95%$89.14
Downside-18%$37.66

Calculated from the latest close: $45.66 on Nov 12.

GSHD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $69.58 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

GSHD Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.46Q4 2023: $0.55Q1 2024: $0.60Q2 2024: $0.69Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $1.16Q1 2025: $1.20Q2 2025: $1.14Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $1.04Q1 2026: $1.14Q2 2026: $1.37Forward: $2.35
Q3 2023: $0.46Q4 2023: $0.55Q1 2024: $0.60Q2 2024: $0.69Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $1.16Q1 2025: $1.20Q2 2025: $1.14Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $1.04Q1 2026: $1.14Q2 2026: $1.37Forward: $2.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.35+71%
Q2 2026$1.37+20%
Q1 2026$1.14-5%
Q4 2025$1.04-10%
Q3 2025$1.14+63%
Q2 2025$1.14+65%
Q1 2025$1.20+100%
Q4 2024$1.16+111%
Q3 2024$0.70+52%

GSHD earned $1.37 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

GSHD Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $71MQ4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $94MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $94MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $105MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $113M
Q3 2023: $71MQ4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $94MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $94MQ3 2025: $90MQ4 2025: $105MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $113M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$113.4M+21%
Q1 2026$93.1M+23%
Q4 2025$105.3M+12%
Q3 2025$90.4M+16%
Q2 2025$94M+20%
Q1 2025$75.6M+17%
Q4 2024$93.9M+49%
Q3 2024$78M+9.9%

GSHD has the edge over GS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

GSHD Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $21MQ4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $14M
Q3 2023: $21MQ4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $14M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$14.4M-47%
Q1 2026$21.2M+42%
Q4 2025$20.3M+68%
Q3 2025$23.7M-15%
Q2 2025$27.2M+44%
Q1 2025$14.9M+28%
Q4 2024$12.1M-7.3%
Q3 2024$28M+35%

GSHD has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has 301M diluted shares, down 4.4% from a year ago, with $15B in buybacks over the past year.

GSHD Total Shares

Q3 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 39MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 36M
Q3 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 39MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.5%-930K shares
1 year-7.4%-2.8M shares
3 years+54%+12.5M shares
5 years+94%+17.3M shares
Available history+117%+19.3M shares

GSHD has the edge over GS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over GSHD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GSHD Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.0xQ4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.9xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.8x
Q3 2023: 1.0xQ4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.9xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20253.0xElevated
Q3 20252.9xModerate
Q2 20252.6xModerate
Q1 20252.9xModerate
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 20240.9xVery low

GSHD's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GSHD.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

GSHD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.8Neutral
Stochastic21.4Neutral

GSHD's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over GSHD on valuation relative to its sector.

GSHD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSHDSector medianRelative
PE33x13x156% above
PE %26361 pts below

GSHD is trading at 33x earnings, a 156% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over GSHD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GSHD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.33.4% below
20 week MA$55.618% below
50 week MA$53.715% below
100 week MA$74.939% below
200 week MA$72.937% below

GSHD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 37% below its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over GSHD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GSHD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$42.1$124.2+195%
2021$124.2$138.1+11%
2022$138.1$38.3-72%
2023$38.3$75.8+98%
2024$75.8$104.2+37%
2025$104.2$75.3-28%
2026 YTD$75.3$45.7-39%

GSHD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +195% in 2020 to −72% in 2022. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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