GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over GSBD overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

GSBD

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.

35
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation8/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

GSBD trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

GSBD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

GSBD's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GSBD.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over GSBD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GSBD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.1x$8.30—
Cheap7.8x$1.96-76%
Fair13x$3.37-59%
Expensive26x$6.43-23%
Current33x$8.30—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GSBD's PE is in its expensive range at 33x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.1x, in its cheap range.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GSBD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Decline
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GSBD's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GSBD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GSBD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$9.83
Downside-16%$6.98

Calculated from the latest close: $8.30 on Nov 12.

GSBD trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over GSBD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GSBD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.81Q1 2024: $1.93Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $0.71Q4 2024: $0.55Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $1.24Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.51Q3 2026: $0.25Forward: $1.16
Q4 2023: $1.81Q1 2024: $1.93Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $0.71Q4 2024: $0.55Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $1.24Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.51Q3 2026: $0.25Forward: $1.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.16+366%
Q3 2026$0.25-78%
Q2 2026$0.51-59%
Q1 2026$0.64+49%
Q4 2025$1.03+87%
Q3 2025$1.14+61%
Q2 2025$1.24+44%
Q1 2025$0.43-78%
Q4 2024$0.55-70%

GSBD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.25 over the past year, against $5.46 in early 2021.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 23% for GS versus down 45% for GSBD.

GSBD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$33.6M-45%
Q1 2022$51.5M-21%
Q4 2021$49M-68%
Q3 2021$53.2M+29%
Q2 2021$61.6M+41%
Q4 2020$155.3M+713%

GSBD's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $34M last quarter, down 45% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

GSBD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: −$122MQ3 2024: $104MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $134MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: −$30MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $267M
Q4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: −$122MQ3 2024: $104MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $134MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: −$30MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $267M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$267.2M+466%
Q2 2026$53.6M-69%
Q1 2026$10.4M-92%
Q4 2025-$29.9M-328%
Q3 2025$47.2M-55%
Q2 2025$174.5M+$296.2M
Q1 2025$133.9M+1802%
Q4 2024$13.1M-84%

GSBD has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over GSBD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GSBD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 108MQ1 2024: 110MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 115MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 112M
Q4 2023: 108MQ1 2024: 110MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 115MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 113MQ3 2026: 112M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-500K shares
1 year-2%-2.3M shares
3 years+2.3%+2.5M shares
5 years+10%+10.3M shares
Available history+178%+71.8M shares

GSBD has 112M diluted shares, down 2% from a year ago.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

GSBD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202214.3xHigh
Q1 202210.5xHigh
Q4 20219.4xHigh
Q3 20214.4xHigh
Q2 20214.5xHigh
Q1 20215.1xHigh
Q4 20209.0xHigh
Q3 202064.1xHigh

GSBD's net debt is about 14 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GSBD.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

GSBD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.7Neutral
Stochastic12.0Oversold

GSBD's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over GSBD on valuation relative to its sector.

GSBD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSBDSector medianRelative
PE33x13x155% above
PE %926329 pts above

GSBD is trading at 33x earnings, a 155% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over GSBD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GSBD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.825.9% below
20 week MA$9.209.8% below
50 week MA$9.2610% below
100 week MA$10.319% below
200 week MA$12.433% below

GSBD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over GSBD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GSBD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.9$19.3-12%
2021$19.3$19.4+0.6%
2022$19.4$14.6-25%
2023$14.6$14.7+0.5%
2024$14.7$12.8-13%
2025$12.8$9.63-25%
2026 YTD$9.63$8.30-14%

GSBD has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

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