GRPN

Groupon, Inc.

53
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

GRPN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

VZ

Verizon Communications Inc.

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

VZ has a slight edge over GRPN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

GRPN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

GRPN's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

VZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

VZ's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

GRPN PE Valuation

GRPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VZ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.3x$32.43-30%
Forward9x$46.55—
Fair11x$43.63-6.3%
Current12x$46.55—
Expensive14x$56.75+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VZ's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.0x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

GRPN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect GRPN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect VZ's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

GRPN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$20.05
Downside-39%$7.44

Calculated from the latest close: $12.21 on Nov 12.

GRPN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VZ, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$54.56
Downside-17%$38.49

Calculated from the latest close: $46.55 on Nov 12.

VZ trails GRPN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GRPN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.77Q1 2024: $-1.15Q2 2024: $-0.99Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $-1.51Q1 2025: $-1.01Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $-3.55Q4 2025: $-2.08Q1 2026: $-2.57Q2 2026: $-3.07Q3 2026: $-0.18Forward: $0.67
Q4 2023: $-1.77Q1 2024: $-1.15Q2 2024: $-0.99Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $-1.51Q1 2025: $-1.01Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $-3.55Q4 2025: $-2.08Q1 2026: $-2.57Q2 2026: $-3.07Q3 2026: $-0.18Forward: $0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.67—
Q3 2026-$0.18+$3.37
Q2 2026-$3.07-$2.77
Q1 2026-$2.57-$1.56
Q4 2025-$2.08-$0.57
Q3 2025-$3.55-646%
Q2 2025-$0.30+$0.69
Q1 2025-$1.01+$0.14
Q4 2024-$1.51+$0.26

GRPN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.18 per share over the past year, against $10.07 at its worst in late 2020.

VZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.19+32%
Q3 2026$3.93-16%
Q2 2026$3.85-10%
Q1 2026$4.11-2.1%
Q4 2025$4.06-1.9%
Q3 2025$4.68+103%
Q2 2025$4.29+61%
Q1 2025$4.20+57%
Q4 2024$4.14+51%

VZ has the edge over GRPN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

GRPN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $125MQ3 2024: $114MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $133MQ1 2026: $117MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $125M
Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $125MQ3 2024: $114MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $133MQ1 2026: $117MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $125M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$125.5M+2.1%
Q2 2026$124.7M-0.8%
Q1 2026$117.2M0%
Q4 2025$132.7M+1.8%
Q3 2025$122.8M+7.3%
Q2 2025$125.7M+0.9%
Q1 2025$117.2M-4.8%
Q4 2024$130.4M-5.3%

GRPN's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $125M last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

VZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$34.3B+1.5%
Q2 2026$34.3B-0.7%
Q1 2026$34.4B+2.9%
Q4 2025$36.4B+2%
Q3 2025$33.8B+1.5%
Q2 2025$34.5B+5.2%
Q1 2025$33.5B+1.5%
Q4 2024$35.7B+1.6%

VZ has the edge over GRPN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GRPN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$20MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: −$25MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: −$14MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$46M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$20MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: −$25MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: −$14MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$46M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$45.8M-$21.2M
Q2 2026$15M-40%
Q1 2026-$13.5M-$9.8M
Q4 2025$53M-16%
Q3 2025-$24.6M-$4.9M
Q2 2025$25.2M+133%
Q1 2025-$3.8M+$10.1M
Q4 2024$63.2M+24%

GRPN has burned cash in most quarters: $9M over the past year, down 85% from the year before.

VZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.5B+2.2%
Q2 2026$10.4B+16%
Q1 2026$8B+2.6%
Q4 2025$9.1B-13%
Q3 2025$11.3B+14%
Q2 2025$9B-5.4%
Q1 2025$7.8B+9.9%
Q4 2024$10.4B+20%

VZ has the edge over GRPN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GRPN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.3%+1.7M shares
1 year+0.1%+49.9K shares
3 years+29%+9.1M shares
5 years+22%+7.3M shares
Available history+43%+12.3M shares

GRPN has 41M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

VZ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-10M shares
1 year-1.7%-72M shares
3 years-1.3%-55M shares
5 years+0.4%+17M shares
Available history+0.5%+21M shares

VZ has the edge over GRPN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GRPN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.9xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -2.9xQ4 2024: -6.2xQ1 2025: -8.0xQ2 2025: -7.8xQ3 2025: -6.1xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 5.8x
Q4 2023: -3.9xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -2.9xQ4 2024: -6.2xQ1 2025: -8.0xQ2 2025: -7.8xQ3 2025: -6.1xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 5.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.8xHigh
Q2 20264.0xHigh
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 2025-6.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-8.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.2xNet Cash

GRPN's net debt is about 5.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

VZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.3xElevated
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.0xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

VZ has the edge over GRPN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GRPN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.6Neutral
Stochastic2.4Oversold

GRPN's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

VZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic44.6Neutral

VZ's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

GRPN PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGRPNSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

GRPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VZ PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricVZSector medianRelative
PE12x16x28% below
PE %582632 pts above

VZ is trading at 12x earnings, a 28% discount to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

GRPN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.928% below
20 week MA$20.541% below
50 week MA$17.430% below
100 week MA$19.437% below
200 week MA$15.119% below

GRPN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 19% below its 200-week average.

VZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.13.1% above
20 week MA$46.30.5% above
50 week MA$46.11.1% above
100 week MA$44.25.4% above
200 week MA$41.412% above

VZ has the edge over GRPN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GRPN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.6$37.8-19%
2021$37.8$25.4-33%
2022$25.4$7.27-71%
2023$7.27$12.8+77%
2024$12.8$11.9-7.1%
2025$11.9$18.1+51%
2026 YTD$18.1$12.2-32%

GRPN has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 32% so far in 2026.

VZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.5$58.8-4.4%
2021$58.8$52.7-10%
2022$52.7$38.4-27%
2023$38.4$37.7-1.8%
2024$37.7$39.9+5.9%
2025$39.9$40.5+1.4%
2026 YTD$40.5$46.6+15%

VZ has the edge over GRPN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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