GRPN

Groupon, Inc.

53
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

GRPN lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

GRPN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

GRPN's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

GRPN PE Valuation

GRPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GRPN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect GRPN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GRPN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$20.05
Downside-39%$7.44

Calculated from the latest close: $12.21 on Nov 12.

GRPN's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +64% against −39%.

GRPN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.77Q1 2024: $-1.15Q2 2024: $-0.99Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $-1.51Q1 2025: $-1.01Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $-3.55Q4 2025: $-2.08Q1 2026: $-2.57Q2 2026: $-3.07Q3 2026: $-0.18Forward: $0.67
Q4 2023: $-1.77Q1 2024: $-1.15Q2 2024: $-0.99Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $-1.51Q1 2025: $-1.01Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $-3.55Q4 2025: $-2.08Q1 2026: $-2.57Q2 2026: $-3.07Q3 2026: $-0.18Forward: $0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.67—
Q3 2026-$0.18+$3.37
Q2 2026-$3.07-$2.77
Q1 2026-$2.57-$1.56
Q4 2025-$2.08-$0.57
Q3 2025-$3.55-646%
Q2 2025-$0.30+$0.69
Q1 2025-$1.01+$0.14
Q4 2024-$1.51+$0.26

GRPN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.18 per share over the past year, against $10.07 at its worst in late 2020.

GRPN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $125MQ3 2024: $114MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $133MQ1 2026: $117MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $125M
Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $125MQ3 2024: $114MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $133MQ1 2026: $117MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $125M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$125.5M+2.1%
Q2 2026$124.7M-0.8%
Q1 2026$117.2M0%
Q4 2025$132.7M+1.8%
Q3 2025$122.8M+7.3%
Q2 2025$125.7M+0.9%
Q1 2025$117.2M-4.8%
Q4 2024$130.4M-5.3%

GRPN's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $125M last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

GRPN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$20MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: −$25MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: −$14MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$46M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$20MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: −$25MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: −$14MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$46M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$45.8M-$21.2M
Q2 2026$15M-40%
Q1 2026-$13.5M-$9.8M
Q4 2025$53M-16%
Q3 2025-$24.6M-$4.9M
Q2 2025$25.2M+133%
Q1 2025-$3.8M+$10.1M
Q4 2024$63.2M+24%

GRPN has burned cash in most quarters: $9M over the past year, down 85% from the year before.

GRPN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.3%+1.7M shares
1 year+0.1%+49.9K shares
3 years+29%+9.1M shares
5 years+22%+7.3M shares
Available history+43%+12.3M shares

GRPN has 41M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GRPN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.9xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -2.9xQ4 2024: -6.2xQ1 2025: -8.0xQ2 2025: -7.8xQ3 2025: -6.1xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 5.8x
Q4 2023: -3.9xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -2.9xQ4 2024: -6.2xQ1 2025: -8.0xQ2 2025: -7.8xQ3 2025: -6.1xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 5.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.8xHigh
Q2 20264.0xHigh
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 2025-6.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-8.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.2xNet Cash

GRPN's net debt is about 5.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

GRPN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.6Neutral
Stochastic2.4Oversold

GRPN's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

GRPN PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGRPNSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

GRPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GRPN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.928% below
20 week MA$20.541% below
50 week MA$17.430% below
100 week MA$19.437% below
200 week MA$15.119% below

GRPN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 19% below its 200-week average.

GRPN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.6$37.8-19%
2021$37.8$25.4-33%
2022$25.4$7.27-71%
2023$7.27$12.8+77%
2024$12.8$11.9-7.1%
2025$11.9$18.1+51%
2026 YTD$18.1$12.2-32%

GRPN has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 32% so far in 2026.

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