GRPN

Groupon, Inc.

53
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

GRPN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over GRPN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

GRPN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

GRPN's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

GRPN PE Valuation

GRPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

GRPN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect GRPN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

TMUS has the edge over GRPN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

GRPN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$20.05
Downside-39%$7.44

Calculated from the latest close: $12.21 on Nov 12.

GRPN trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GRPN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GRPN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.77Q1 2024: $-1.15Q2 2024: $-0.99Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $-1.51Q1 2025: $-1.01Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $-3.55Q4 2025: $-2.08Q1 2026: $-2.57Q2 2026: $-3.07Q3 2026: $-0.18Forward: $0.67
Q4 2023: $-1.77Q1 2024: $-1.15Q2 2024: $-0.99Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $-1.51Q1 2025: $-1.01Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $-3.55Q4 2025: $-2.08Q1 2026: $-2.57Q2 2026: $-3.07Q3 2026: $-0.18Forward: $0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.67—
Q3 2026-$0.18+$3.37
Q2 2026-$3.07-$2.77
Q1 2026-$2.57-$1.56
Q4 2025-$2.08-$0.57
Q3 2025-$3.55-646%
Q2 2025-$0.30+$0.69
Q1 2025-$1.01+$0.14
Q4 2024-$1.51+$0.26

GRPN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.18 per share over the past year, against $10.07 at its worst in late 2020.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS has the edge over GRPN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

GRPN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $125MQ3 2024: $114MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $133MQ1 2026: $117MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $125M
Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $125MQ3 2024: $114MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $133MQ1 2026: $117MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $125M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$125.5M+2.1%
Q2 2026$124.7M-0.8%
Q1 2026$117.2M0%
Q4 2025$132.7M+1.8%
Q3 2025$122.8M+7.3%
Q2 2025$125.7M+0.9%
Q1 2025$117.2M-4.8%
Q4 2024$130.4M-5.3%

GRPN's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $125M last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS has the edge over GRPN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GRPN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$20MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: −$25MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: −$14MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$46M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$20MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: −$25MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: −$14MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$46M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$45.8M-$21.2M
Q2 2026$15M-40%
Q1 2026-$13.5M-$9.8M
Q4 2025$53M-16%
Q3 2025-$24.6M-$4.9M
Q2 2025$25.2M+133%
Q1 2025-$3.8M+$10.1M
Q4 2024$63.2M+24%

GRPN has burned cash in most quarters: $9M over the past year, down 85% from the year before.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over GRPN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GRPN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.3%+1.7M shares
1 year+0.1%+49.9K shares
3 years+29%+9.1M shares
5 years+22%+7.3M shares
Available history+43%+12.3M shares

GRPN has 41M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has the edge over GRPN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GRPN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.9xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -2.9xQ4 2024: -6.2xQ1 2025: -8.0xQ2 2025: -7.8xQ3 2025: -6.1xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 5.8x
Q4 2023: -3.9xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -2.9xQ4 2024: -6.2xQ1 2025: -8.0xQ2 2025: -7.8xQ3 2025: -6.1xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 5.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.8xHigh
Q2 20264.0xHigh
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 2025-6.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-8.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.2xNet Cash

GRPN's net debt is about 5.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS has the edge over GRPN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GRPN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.6Neutral
Stochastic2.4Oversold

GRPN's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

GRPN PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGRPNSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

GRPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

GRPN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.928% below
20 week MA$20.541% below
50 week MA$17.430% below
100 week MA$19.437% below
200 week MA$15.119% below

GRPN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 19% below its 200-week average.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has the edge over GRPN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GRPN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.6$37.8-19%
2021$37.8$25.4-33%
2022$25.4$7.27-71%
2023$7.27$12.8+77%
2024$12.8$11.9-7.1%
2025$11.9$18.1+51%
2026 YTD$18.1$12.2-32%

GRPN has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 32% so far in 2026.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has the edge over GRPN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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