GRPN
Groupon, Inc.
GRPN has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDDT
Reddit, Inc.
RDDT has the edge over GRPN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
GRPN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
GRPN's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
RDDT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
GRPN PE Valuation
GRPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDDT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 16x | $99.55 | — |
| Current | 20x | $99.55 | — |
| Cheap | 35x | $171 | +72% |
| Fair | 46x | $228 | +129% |
| Expensive | 53x | $262 | +163% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RDDT's PE is 20x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
GRPN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect GRPN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RDDT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
RDDT has the edge over GRPN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
GRPN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.67 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.18 | +$3.37 |
| Q2 2026 | -$3.07 | -$2.77 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.57 | -$1.56 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.08 | -$0.57 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.55 | -646% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.30 | +$0.69 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.01 | +$0.14 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.51 | +$0.26 |
RDDT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 105% for GRPN versus RDDT down 39%.
RDDT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.32 | +29% |
| Q3 2024 | -$7.98 | -$7.17 |
| Q2 2024 | -$8.19 | -$7.15 |
| Q1 2024 | -$8.38 | -$7.25 |
| Q4 2023 | -$0.56 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2023 | -$0.81 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2023 | -$1.04 | -$0.48 |
| Q1 2023 | -$1.13 | -$0.48 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.97 | -$0.19 |
RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
GRPN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $125.5M | +2.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $124.7M | -0.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $117.2M | 0% |
| Q4 2025 | $132.7M | +1.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $122.8M | +7.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $125.7M | +0.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $117.2M | -4.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $130.4M | -5.3% |
GRPN's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $125M last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.4% | +1.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | -0.6% | -11 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2.8% | -4.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.9% | +2.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.8% | +6.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 10% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1.6% | -4.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2% | -11 points |
GRPN's operating margin was 3.4% last quarter, up 1.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RDDT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $895M | +53% |
| Q2 2026 | $804.9M | +61% |
| Q1 2026 | $663.4M | +69% |
| Q4 2025 | $725.6M | +70% |
| Q3 2025 | $584.9M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $499.6M | +78% |
| Q1 2025 | $392.4M | +61% |
| Q4 2024 | $427.7M | +71% |
RDDT has the edge over GRPN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 29% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 28% | +27 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +20 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | +22 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +25 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1% | +244 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +11 points |
RDDT has the edge over GRPN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GRPN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$45.8M | -$21.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $15M | -40% |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.5M | -$9.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $53M | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | -$24.6M | -$4.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $25.2M | +133% |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.8M | +$10.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $63.2M | +24% |
GRPN has burned cash in most quarters: $9M over the past year, down 85% from the year before.
RDDT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $362.6M | +98% |
| Q2 2026 | $260.7M | +135% |
| Q1 2026 | $311.2M | +146% |
| Q4 2025 | $263.6M | +196% |
| Q3 2025 | $183.1M | +161% |
| Q2 2025 | $110.8M | +308% |
| Q1 2025 | $126.6M | +333% |
| Q4 2024 | $89.2M | +$111.2M |
RDDT has the edge over GRPN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
GRPN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4.3% | +1.7M shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +49.9K shares |
| 3 years | +29% | +9.1M shares |
| 5 years | +22% | +7.3M shares |
| Available history | +43% | +12.3M shares |
GRPN has 41M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $792,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $10.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $21.3M |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
| Q4 2019 | $1.5M |
RDDT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -169K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -868K shares |
| 3 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
| 5 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
RDDT has the edge over GRPN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $234.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $5M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | $4.2M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
GRPN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.0x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -7.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -8.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -6.2x | Net Cash |
GRPN's net debt is about 5.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
RDDT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -5.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -13.1x | Net Cash |
RDDT has the edge over GRPN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
GRPN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 2.4 | Oversold |
GRPN's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).
RDDT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.5 | Oversold |
RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
GRPN PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | GRPN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 16x | — |
GRPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | RDDT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 16x | 23% above |
| PE % | 5 | 23 | 18 pts below |
RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.
GRPN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $16.9 | 28% below |
| 20 week MA | $20.5 | 41% below |
| 50 week MA | $17.4 | 30% below |
| 100 week MA | $19.4 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 19% below |
RDDT has stronger trend alignment. GRPN is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.
RDDT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $130.6 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $151.7 | 34% below |
| 50 week MA | $165.0 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $167.1 | 40% below |
RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.
GRPN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $46.6 | $37.8 | -19% |
| 2021 | $37.8 | $25.4 | -33% |
| 2022 | $25.4 | $7.27 | -71% |
| 2023 | $7.27 | $12.8 | +77% |
| 2024 | $12.8 | $11.9 | -7.1% |
| 2025 | $11.9 | $18.1 | +51% |
| 2026 YTD | $18.1 | $12.2 | -32% |
GRPN has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RDDT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $46.0 | $173.5 | +277% |
| 2025 | $173.5 | $225.8 | +30% |
| 2026 YTD | $225.8 | $99.6 | -56% |
RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.