GRPN

Groupon, Inc.

53
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

GRPN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over GRPN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

GRPN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

GRPN's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

GRPN PE Valuation

GRPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

GRPN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect GRPN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

NFLX has the edge over GRPN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

GRPN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$20.05
Downside-39%$7.44

Calculated from the latest close: $12.21 on Nov 12.

GRPN trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GRPN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GRPN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.77Q1 2024: $-1.15Q2 2024: $-0.99Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $-1.51Q1 2025: $-1.01Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $-3.55Q4 2025: $-2.08Q1 2026: $-2.57Q2 2026: $-3.07Q3 2026: $-0.18Forward: $0.67
Q4 2023: $-1.77Q1 2024: $-1.15Q2 2024: $-0.99Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $-1.51Q1 2025: $-1.01Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $-3.55Q4 2025: $-2.08Q1 2026: $-2.57Q2 2026: $-3.07Q3 2026: $-0.18Forward: $0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.67—
Q3 2026-$0.18+$3.37
Q2 2026-$3.07-$2.77
Q1 2026-$2.57-$1.56
Q4 2025-$2.08-$0.57
Q3 2025-$3.55-646%
Q2 2025-$0.30+$0.69
Q1 2025-$1.01+$0.14
Q4 2024-$1.51+$0.26

GRPN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.18 per share over the past year, against $10.07 at its worst in late 2020.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over GRPN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

GRPN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $125MQ3 2024: $114MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $133MQ1 2026: $117MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $125M
Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $125MQ3 2024: $114MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $133MQ1 2026: $117MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $125M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$125.5M+2.1%
Q2 2026$124.7M-0.8%
Q1 2026$117.2M0%
Q4 2025$132.7M+1.8%
Q3 2025$122.8M+7.3%
Q2 2025$125.7M+0.9%
Q1 2025$117.2M-4.8%
Q4 2024$130.4M-5.3%

GRPN's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $125M last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over GRPN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GRPN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$20MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: −$25MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: −$14MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$46M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$20MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: −$25MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: −$14MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$46M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$45.8M-$21.2M
Q2 2026$15M-40%
Q1 2026-$13.5M-$9.8M
Q4 2025$53M-16%
Q3 2025-$24.6M-$4.9M
Q2 2025$25.2M+133%
Q1 2025-$3.8M+$10.1M
Q4 2024$63.2M+24%

GRPN has burned cash in most quarters: $9M over the past year, down 85% from the year before.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over GRPN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GRPN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.3%+1.7M shares
1 year+0.1%+49.9K shares
3 years+29%+9.1M shares
5 years+22%+7.3M shares
Available history+43%+12.3M shares

GRPN has 41M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over GRPN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GRPN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.9xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -2.9xQ4 2024: -6.2xQ1 2025: -8.0xQ2 2025: -7.8xQ3 2025: -6.1xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 5.8x
Q4 2023: -3.9xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -2.9xQ4 2024: -6.2xQ1 2025: -8.0xQ2 2025: -7.8xQ3 2025: -6.1xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 5.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.8xHigh
Q2 20264.0xHigh
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 2025-6.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-8.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.2xNet Cash

GRPN's net debt is about 5.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX has the edge over GRPN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GRPN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.6Neutral
Stochastic2.4Oversold

GRPN's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

GRPN PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGRPNSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

GRPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

GRPN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.928% below
20 week MA$20.541% below
50 week MA$17.430% below
100 week MA$19.437% below
200 week MA$15.119% below

GRPN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 19% below its 200-week average.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

GRPN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.6$37.8-19%
2021$37.8$25.4-33%
2022$25.4$7.27-71%
2023$7.27$12.8+77%
2024$12.8$11.9-7.1%
2025$11.9$18.1+51%
2026 YTD$18.1$12.2-32%

GRPN has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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