GPC

Genuine Parts Company

37
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation5/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

GPC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has the edge over GPC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

GPC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Weak

GPC's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

GPC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE138x276x414x552x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE138x276x414x552x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$123—
Cheap16x$4.20-97%
Fair20x$5.27-96%
Expensive25x$6.41-95%
Current472x$123—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GPC's PE is in its expensive range at 472x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x, in its cheap range.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA has the edge over GPC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GPC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect GPC's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

TSLA has the edge over GPC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

GPC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$158.82
Downside-26%$90.70

Calculated from the latest close: $122.84 on Nov 12.

GPC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails GPC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GPC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.33Q1 2024: $8.97Q2 2024: $8.64Q3 2024: $7.77Q4 2024: $6.47Q1 2025: $6.09Q2 2025: $5.81Q3 2025: $5.81Q4 2025: $0.47Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.26Forward: $7.93
Q4 2023: $9.33Q1 2024: $8.97Q2 2024: $8.64Q3 2024: $7.77Q4 2024: $6.47Q1 2025: $6.09Q2 2025: $5.81Q3 2025: $5.81Q4 2025: $0.47Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.26Forward: $7.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.93+2951%
Q3 2026$0.26-96%
Q2 2026$0.26-96%
Q1 2026$0.44-93%
Q4 2025$0.47-93%
Q3 2025$5.81-25%
Q2 2025$5.81-33%
Q1 2025$6.09-32%
Q4 2024$6.47-31%

GPC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.26 over the past year, against $9.33 in late 2023.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA has the edge over GPC on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GPC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.6BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $5.8BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $6.2BQ3 2025: $6.3BQ4 2025: $6BQ1 2026: $6.3BQ2 2026: $6.5BQ3 2026: $6.5B
Q4 2023: $5.6BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $5.8BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $6.2BQ3 2025: $6.3BQ4 2025: $6BQ1 2026: $6.3BQ2 2026: $6.5BQ3 2026: $6.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.5B+4.2%
Q2 2026$6.5B+6%
Q1 2026$6.3B+6.8%
Q4 2025$6B+4.1%
Q3 2025$6.3B+4.9%
Q2 2025$6.2B+3.4%
Q1 2025$5.9B+1.4%
Q4 2024$5.8B+3.3%

GPC has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

GPC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: $358MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: −$161MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: $292MQ3 2026: $243M
Q4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: $358MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: −$161MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: $292MQ3 2026: $243M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$243.4M+1.5%
Q2 2026$292.4M+261%
Q1 2026-$33.6M+$127M
Q4 2025$260.7M+$287.4M
Q3 2025$240M-33%
Q2 2025$81M-46%
Q1 2025-$160.7M-179%
Q4 2024-$26.7M-114%

GPC has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

GPC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 141MQ1 2024: 140MQ2 2024: 140MQ3 2024: 140MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 139MQ2 2025: 139MQ3 2025: 139MQ4 2025: 139MQ1 2026: 138MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 138M
Q4 2023: 141MQ1 2024: 140MQ2 2024: 140MQ3 2024: 140MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 139MQ2 2025: 139MQ3 2025: 139MQ4 2025: 139MQ1 2026: 138MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 138M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+354K shares
1 year-0.8%-1.1M shares
3 years-1.8%-2.6M shares
5 years-3.7%-5.3M shares
Available history-5.5%-8.1M shares

GPC has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GPC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 7.9xQ1 2026: 8.5xQ2 2026: 9.0xQ3 2026: 8.4x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 7.9xQ1 2026: 8.5xQ2 2026: 9.0xQ3 2026: 8.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.4xHigh
Q2 20269.0xHigh
Q1 20268.5xHigh
Q4 20257.9xHigh
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20253.2xElevated
Q4 20242.4xModerate

GPC's net debt is about 8.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.4 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over GPC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GPC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.3Neutral
Stochastic10.2Oversold

GPC's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

GPC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGPCSector medianRelative
PE472x18x2,522% above
PE %964749 pts above

GPC is trading at 472x earnings, a 2522% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA has the edge over GPC on valuation relative to its sector.

GPC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$125.92.4% below
20 week MA$129.14.8% below
50 week MA$121.51.1% above
100 week MA$123.50.6% below
200 week MA$135.79.5% below

GPC's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 9.5% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over GPC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GPC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$106.2$99.4-6.5%
2021$99.4$135.4+36%
2022$135.4$176.6+30%
2023$176.6$138.5-22%
2024$138.5$117.0-16%
2025$117.0$125.9+7.6%
2026 YTD$125.9$122.8-2.4%

GPC has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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