GPC

Genuine Parts Company

37
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation5/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

GPC's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 472x earnings, about 23 times its usual 20x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

GPC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Weak

GPC's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

GPC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE138x276x414x552x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE138x276x414x552x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$123—
Cheap16x$4.20-97%
Fair20x$5.27-96%
Expensive25x$6.41-95%
Current472x$123—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GPC's PE is in its expensive range at 472x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x, in its cheap range.

GPC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect GPC's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

GPC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$158.82
Downside-26%$90.70

Calculated from the latest close: $122.84 on Nov 12.

GPC's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +29% against −26%.

GPC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.33Q1 2024: $8.97Q2 2024: $8.64Q3 2024: $7.77Q4 2024: $6.47Q1 2025: $6.09Q2 2025: $5.81Q3 2025: $5.81Q4 2025: $0.47Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.26Forward: $7.93
Q4 2023: $9.33Q1 2024: $8.97Q2 2024: $8.64Q3 2024: $7.77Q4 2024: $6.47Q1 2025: $6.09Q2 2025: $5.81Q3 2025: $5.81Q4 2025: $0.47Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.26Forward: $7.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.93+2951%
Q3 2026$0.26-96%
Q2 2026$0.26-96%
Q1 2026$0.44-93%
Q4 2025$0.47-93%
Q3 2025$5.81-25%
Q2 2025$5.81-33%
Q1 2025$6.09-32%
Q4 2024$6.47-31%

GPC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.26 over the past year, against $9.33 in late 2023.

GPC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.6BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $5.8BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $6.2BQ3 2025: $6.3BQ4 2025: $6BQ1 2026: $6.3BQ2 2026: $6.5BQ3 2026: $6.5B
Q4 2023: $5.6BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $5.8BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $6.2BQ3 2025: $6.3BQ4 2025: $6BQ1 2026: $6.3BQ2 2026: $6.5BQ3 2026: $6.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.5B+4.2%
Q2 2026$6.5B+6%
Q1 2026$6.3B+6.8%
Q4 2025$6B+4.1%
Q3 2025$6.3B+4.9%
Q2 2025$6.2B+3.4%
Q1 2025$5.9B+1.4%
Q4 2024$5.8B+3.3%

GPC's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $6.5B last quarter, up 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

GPC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: $358MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: −$161MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: $292MQ3 2026: $243M
Q4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: $358MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: −$161MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: $292MQ3 2026: $243M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$243.4M+1.5%
Q2 2026$292.4M+261%
Q1 2026-$33.6M+$127M
Q4 2025$260.7M+$287.4M
Q3 2025$240M-33%
Q2 2025$81M-46%
Q1 2025-$160.7M-179%
Q4 2024-$26.7M-114%

GPC still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $763M over the past year.

GPC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 141MQ1 2024: 140MQ2 2024: 140MQ3 2024: 140MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 139MQ2 2025: 139MQ3 2025: 139MQ4 2025: 139MQ1 2026: 138MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 138M
Q4 2023: 141MQ1 2024: 140MQ2 2024: 140MQ3 2024: 140MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 139MQ2 2025: 139MQ3 2025: 139MQ4 2025: 139MQ1 2026: 138MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 138M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+354K shares
1 year-0.8%-1.1M shares
3 years-1.8%-2.6M shares
5 years-3.7%-5.3M shares
Available history-5.5%-8.1M shares

GPC has 138M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago.

GPC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 7.9xQ1 2026: 8.5xQ2 2026: 9.0xQ3 2026: 8.4x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 7.9xQ1 2026: 8.5xQ2 2026: 9.0xQ3 2026: 8.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.4xHigh
Q2 20269.0xHigh
Q1 20268.5xHigh
Q4 20257.9xHigh
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20253.2xElevated
Q4 20242.4xModerate

GPC's net debt is about 8.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.4 years a year ago.

GPC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.3Neutral
Stochastic10.2Oversold

GPC's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

GPC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGPCSector medianRelative
PE472x18x2,522% above
PE %964749 pts above

GPC is trading at 472x earnings, a 2522% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

GPC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$125.92.4% below
20 week MA$129.14.8% below
50 week MA$121.51.1% above
100 week MA$123.50.6% below
200 week MA$135.79.5% below

GPC's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 9.5% below its 200-week average.

GPC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$106.2$99.4-6.5%
2021$99.4$135.4+36%
2022$135.4$176.6+30%
2023$176.6$138.5-22%
2024$138.5$117.0-16%
2025$117.0$125.9+7.6%
2026 YTD$125.9$122.8-2.4%

GPC has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 2.4% so far in 2026.

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