GPC
Genuine Parts Company
GPC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has the edge over GPC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
GPC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
GPC's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GPC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 15x | $123 | — |
| Cheap | 16x | $4.20 | -97% |
| Fair | 20x | $5.27 | -96% |
| Expensive | 25x | $6.41 | -95% |
| Current | 472x | $123 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GPC's PE is in its expensive range at 472x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x, in its cheap range.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GPC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect GPC's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over GPC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
GPC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.93 | +2951% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.26 | -96% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.26 | -96% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.44 | -93% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.47 | -93% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.81 | -25% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.81 | -33% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.09 | -32% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.47 | -31% |
GPC has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
GPC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.5B | +4.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.5B | +6% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.3B | +6.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $6B | +4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.3B | +4.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.2B | +3.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.9B | +1.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.8B | +3.3% |
GPC's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $6.5B last quarter, up 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.3% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.5% | -1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -14% | -17 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.7% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.5% | -1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.3% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -4.6 points |
GPC has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
GPC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $243.4M | +1.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $292.4M | +261% |
| Q1 2026 | -$33.6M | +$127M |
| Q4 2025 | $260.7M | +$287.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $240M | -33% |
| Q2 2025 | $81M | -46% |
| Q1 2025 | -$160.7M | -179% |
| Q4 2024 | -$26.7M | -114% |
GPC has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
GPC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +354K shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -1.1M shares |
| 3 years | -1.8% | -2.6M shares |
| 5 years | -3.7% | -5.3M shares |
| Available history | -5.5% | -8.1M shares |
GPC has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $37.5M |
| Q3 2024 | $37.5M |
| Q2 2024 | $37.5M |
| Q1 2024 | $37.5M |
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
GPC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 9.0x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.5x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 7.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 2.4x | Moderate |
GPC's net debt is about 8.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.4 years a year ago.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GPC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.2 | Oversold |
GPC's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
GPC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GPC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 472x | 18x | 2,522% above |
| PE % | 96 | 47 | 49 pts above |
GPC is trading at 472x earnings, a 2522% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GPC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $125.9 | 2.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $129.1 | 4.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $121.5 | 1.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $123.5 | 0.6% below |
| 200 week MA | $135.7 | 9.5% below |
GPC has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
GPC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $106.2 | $99.4 | -6.5% |
| 2021 | $99.4 | $135.4 | +36% |
| 2022 | $135.4 | $176.6 | +30% |
| 2023 | $176.6 | $138.5 | -22% |
| 2024 | $138.5 | $117.0 | -16% |
| 2025 | $117.0 | $125.9 | +7.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $125.9 | $122.8 | -2.4% |
GPC has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.