GPC

Genuine Parts Company

37
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation5/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

GPC trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over GPC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

GPC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Weak

GPC's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

GPC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE138x276x414x552x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE138x276x414x552x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$123—
Cheap16x$4.20-97%
Fair20x$5.27-96%
Expensive25x$6.41-95%
Current472x$123—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GPC's PE is in its expensive range at 472x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x, in its cheap range.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over GPC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GPC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect GPC's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GPC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$158.82
Downside-26%$90.70

Calculated from the latest close: $122.84 on Nov 12.

GPC trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GPC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GPC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.33Q1 2024: $8.97Q2 2024: $8.64Q3 2024: $7.77Q4 2024: $6.47Q1 2025: $6.09Q2 2025: $5.81Q3 2025: $5.81Q4 2025: $0.47Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.26Forward: $7.93
Q4 2023: $9.33Q1 2024: $8.97Q2 2024: $8.64Q3 2024: $7.77Q4 2024: $6.47Q1 2025: $6.09Q2 2025: $5.81Q3 2025: $5.81Q4 2025: $0.47Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.26Forward: $7.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.93+2951%
Q3 2026$0.26-96%
Q2 2026$0.26-96%
Q1 2026$0.44-93%
Q4 2025$0.47-93%
Q3 2025$5.81-25%
Q2 2025$5.81-33%
Q1 2025$6.09-32%
Q4 2024$6.47-31%

GPC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.26 over the past year, against $9.33 in late 2023.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the edge over GPC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GPC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.6BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $5.8BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $6.2BQ3 2025: $6.3BQ4 2025: $6BQ1 2026: $6.3BQ2 2026: $6.5BQ3 2026: $6.5B
Q4 2023: $5.6BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $5.8BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $6.2BQ3 2025: $6.3BQ4 2025: $6BQ1 2026: $6.3BQ2 2026: $6.5BQ3 2026: $6.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.5B+4.2%
Q2 2026$6.5B+6%
Q1 2026$6.3B+6.8%
Q4 2025$6B+4.1%
Q3 2025$6.3B+4.9%
Q2 2025$6.2B+3.4%
Q1 2025$5.9B+1.4%
Q4 2024$5.8B+3.3%

GPC has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

GPC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: $358MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: −$161MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: $292MQ3 2026: $243M
Q4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: $358MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: −$161MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: $292MQ3 2026: $243M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$243.4M+1.5%
Q2 2026$292.4M+261%
Q1 2026-$33.6M+$127M
Q4 2025$260.7M+$287.4M
Q3 2025$240M-33%
Q2 2025$81M-46%
Q1 2025-$160.7M-179%
Q4 2024-$26.7M-114%

GPC has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

GPC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 141MQ1 2024: 140MQ2 2024: 140MQ3 2024: 140MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 139MQ2 2025: 139MQ3 2025: 139MQ4 2025: 139MQ1 2026: 138MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 138M
Q4 2023: 141MQ1 2024: 140MQ2 2024: 140MQ3 2024: 140MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 139MQ2 2025: 139MQ3 2025: 139MQ4 2025: 139MQ1 2026: 138MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 138M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+354K shares
1 year-0.8%-1.1M shares
3 years-1.8%-2.6M shares
5 years-3.7%-5.3M shares
Available history-5.5%-8.1M shares

GPC has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GPC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 7.9xQ1 2026: 8.5xQ2 2026: 9.0xQ3 2026: 8.4x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 7.9xQ1 2026: 8.5xQ2 2026: 9.0xQ3 2026: 8.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.4xHigh
Q2 20269.0xHigh
Q1 20268.5xHigh
Q4 20257.9xHigh
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20253.2xElevated
Q4 20242.4xModerate

GPC's net debt is about 8.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.4 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over GPC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GPC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.3Neutral
Stochastic10.2Oversold

GPC's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

GPC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGPCSector medianRelative
PE472x18x2,522% above
PE %964749 pts above

GPC is trading at 472x earnings, a 2522% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over GPC on valuation relative to its sector.

GPC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$125.92.4% below
20 week MA$129.14.8% below
50 week MA$121.51.1% above
100 week MA$123.50.6% below
200 week MA$135.79.5% below

GPC's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 9.5% below its 200-week average.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

GPC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$106.2$99.4-6.5%
2021$99.4$135.4+36%
2022$135.4$176.6+30%
2023$176.6$138.5-22%
2024$138.5$117.0-16%
2025$117.0$125.9+7.6%
2026 YTD$125.9$122.8-2.4%

GPC has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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