GPC
Genuine Parts Company
GPC has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over GPC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
GPC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
GPC's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GPC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 15x | $123 | — |
| Cheap | 16x | $4.20 | -97% |
| Fair | 20x | $5.27 | -96% |
| Expensive | 25x | $6.41 | -95% |
| Current | 472x | $123 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GPC's PE is in its expensive range at 472x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x, in its cheap range.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GPC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect GPC's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over GPC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
GPC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.93 | +2951% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.26 | -96% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.26 | -96% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.44 | -93% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.47 | -93% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.81 | -25% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.81 | -33% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.09 | -32% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.47 | -31% |
GPC has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
GPC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.5B | +4.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.5B | +6% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.3B | +6.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $6B | +4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.3B | +4.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.2B | +3.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.9B | +1.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.8B | +3.3% |
GPC's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $6.5B last quarter, up 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.3% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.5% | -1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -14% | -17 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.7% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.5% | -1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.3% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -4.6 points |
GPC has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
GPC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $243.4M | +1.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $292.4M | +261% |
| Q1 2026 | -$33.6M | +$127M |
| Q4 2025 | $260.7M | +$287.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $240M | -33% |
| Q2 2025 | $81M | -46% |
| Q1 2025 | -$160.7M | -179% |
| Q4 2024 | -$26.7M | -114% |
GPC still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $763M over the past year.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
GPC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +354K shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -1.1M shares |
| 3 years | -1.8% | -2.6M shares |
| 5 years | -3.7% | -5.3M shares |
| Available history | -5.5% | -8.1M shares |
GPC has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $37.5M |
| Q3 2024 | $37.5M |
| Q2 2024 | $37.5M |
| Q1 2024 | $37.5M |
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
GPC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 9.0x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.5x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 7.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 2.4x | Moderate |
GPC's net debt is about 8.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.4 years a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GPC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.2 | Oversold |
GPC's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
GPC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GPC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 472x | 18x | 2,522% above |
| PE % | 96 | 47 | 49 pts above |
GPC is trading at 472x earnings, a 2522% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GPC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $125.9 | 2.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $129.1 | 4.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $121.5 | 1.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $123.5 | 0.6% below |
| 200 week MA | $135.7 | 9.5% below |
GPC has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
GPC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $106.2 | $99.4 | -6.5% |
| 2021 | $99.4 | $135.4 | +36% |
| 2022 | $135.4 | $176.6 | +30% |
| 2023 | $176.6 | $138.5 | -22% |
| 2024 | $138.5 | $117.0 | -16% |
| 2025 | $117.0 | $125.9 | +7.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $125.9 | $122.8 | -2.4% |
GPC has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.