GPC

Genuine Parts Company

37
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation5/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

GPC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over GPC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

GPC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Weak

GPC's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GPC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE138x276x414x552x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE138x276x414x552x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$123—
Cheap16x$4.20-97%
Fair20x$5.27-96%
Expensive25x$6.41-95%
Current472x$123—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GPC's PE is in its expensive range at 472x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x, in its cheap range.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GPC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect GPC's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GPC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$158.82
Downside-26%$90.70

Calculated from the latest close: $122.84 on Nov 12.

GPC trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GPC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GPC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.33Q1 2024: $8.97Q2 2024: $8.64Q3 2024: $7.77Q4 2024: $6.47Q1 2025: $6.09Q2 2025: $5.81Q3 2025: $5.81Q4 2025: $0.47Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.26Forward: $7.93
Q4 2023: $9.33Q1 2024: $8.97Q2 2024: $8.64Q3 2024: $7.77Q4 2024: $6.47Q1 2025: $6.09Q2 2025: $5.81Q3 2025: $5.81Q4 2025: $0.47Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.26Forward: $7.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.93+2951%
Q3 2026$0.26-96%
Q2 2026$0.26-96%
Q1 2026$0.44-93%
Q4 2025$0.47-93%
Q3 2025$5.81-25%
Q2 2025$5.81-33%
Q1 2025$6.09-32%
Q4 2024$6.47-31%

GPC has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

GPC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.6BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $5.8BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $6.2BQ3 2025: $6.3BQ4 2025: $6BQ1 2026: $6.3BQ2 2026: $6.5BQ3 2026: $6.5B
Q4 2023: $5.6BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $5.8BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $6.2BQ3 2025: $6.3BQ4 2025: $6BQ1 2026: $6.3BQ2 2026: $6.5BQ3 2026: $6.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.5B+4.2%
Q2 2026$6.5B+6%
Q1 2026$6.3B+6.8%
Q4 2025$6B+4.1%
Q3 2025$6.3B+4.9%
Q2 2025$6.2B+3.4%
Q1 2025$5.9B+1.4%
Q4 2024$5.8B+3.3%

GPC's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $6.5B last quarter, up 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over GPC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GPC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: $358MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: −$161MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: $292MQ3 2026: $243M
Q4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: $358MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: −$161MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: $292MQ3 2026: $243M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$243.4M+1.5%
Q2 2026$292.4M+261%
Q1 2026-$33.6M+$127M
Q4 2025$260.7M+$287.4M
Q3 2025$240M-33%
Q2 2025$81M-46%
Q1 2025-$160.7M-179%
Q4 2024-$26.7M-114%

GPC has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

GPC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 141MQ1 2024: 140MQ2 2024: 140MQ3 2024: 140MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 139MQ2 2025: 139MQ3 2025: 139MQ4 2025: 139MQ1 2026: 138MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 138M
Q4 2023: 141MQ1 2024: 140MQ2 2024: 140MQ3 2024: 140MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 139MQ2 2025: 139MQ3 2025: 139MQ4 2025: 139MQ1 2026: 138MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 138M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+354K shares
1 year-0.8%-1.1M shares
3 years-1.8%-2.6M shares
5 years-3.7%-5.3M shares
Available history-5.5%-8.1M shares

GPC has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

GPC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 7.9xQ1 2026: 8.5xQ2 2026: 9.0xQ3 2026: 8.4x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 7.9xQ1 2026: 8.5xQ2 2026: 9.0xQ3 2026: 8.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.4xHigh
Q2 20269.0xHigh
Q1 20268.5xHigh
Q4 20257.9xHigh
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20253.2xElevated
Q4 20242.4xModerate

GPC's net debt is about 8.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.4 years a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GPC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.3Neutral
Stochastic10.2Oversold

GPC's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

GPC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGPCSector medianRelative
PE472x18x2,522% above
PE %964749 pts above

GPC is trading at 472x earnings, a 2522% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GPC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$125.92.4% below
20 week MA$129.14.8% below
50 week MA$121.51.1% above
100 week MA$123.50.6% below
200 week MA$135.79.5% below

GPC has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

GPC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$106.2$99.4-6.5%
2021$99.4$135.4+36%
2022$135.4$176.6+30%
2023$176.6$138.5-22%
2024$138.5$117.0-16%
2025$117.0$125.9+7.6%
2026 YTD$125.9$122.8-2.4%

GPC has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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