GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

WMG

Warner Music Group Corp.

77
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation77/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

WMG has the edge over GOOGL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

WMG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Stable

WMG's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL's PE is in its cheap range at 16x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 22x.

WMG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$31.67—
Current25x$31.67—
Cheap31x$39.57+25%
Fair36x$46.67+47%
Expensive44x$57.23+81%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WMG has the edge over GOOGL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

WMG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

WMG has the edge over GOOGL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL trails WMG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

WMG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$45.88
Downside-10%$28.46

Calculated from the latest close: $31.67 on Nov 12.

WMG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GOOGL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL has the edge over WMG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WMG Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.85Q4 2023: $0.91Q1 2024: $1.02Q2 2024: $1.04Q3 2024: $0.82Q4 2024: $0.97Q1 2025: $0.86Q2 2025: $0.57Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.59Q1 2026: $0.87Q2 2026: $1.29Forward: $1.72
Q3 2023: $0.85Q4 2023: $0.91Q1 2024: $1.02Q2 2024: $1.04Q3 2024: $0.82Q4 2024: $0.97Q1 2025: $0.86Q2 2025: $0.57Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.59Q1 2026: $0.87Q2 2026: $1.29Forward: $1.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.72+33%
Q2 2026$1.29+126%
Q1 2026$0.87+1.2%
Q4 2025$0.59-39%
Q3 2025$0.70-15%
Q2 2025$0.57-45%
Q1 2025$0.86-16%
Q4 2024$0.97+6.6%
Q3 2024$0.82-3.5%

WMG earned $1.29 per share over the past year, up 126% from the year before.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL has the edge over WMG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WMG Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.6BQ4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.9B
Q3 2023: $1.6BQ4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.9B+10%
Q1 2026$1.7B+17%
Q4 2025$1.8B+10%
Q3 2025$1.9B+15%
Q2 2025$1.7B+8.7%
Q1 2025$1.5B-0.7%
Q4 2024$1.7B-4.7%
Q3 2024$1.6B+2.8%

WMG's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1.9B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

WMG Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $239MQ4 2023: $205MQ1 2024: −$80MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $207MQ4 2024: $296MQ1 2025: −$46MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $203MQ4 2025: $390MQ1 2026: $107MQ2 2026: $114M
Q3 2023: $239MQ4 2023: $205MQ1 2024: −$80MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $207MQ4 2024: $296MQ1 2025: −$46MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $203MQ4 2025: $390MQ1 2026: $107MQ2 2026: $114M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$114M+1529%
Q1 2026$107M+$153M
Q4 2025$390M+32%
Q3 2025$203M-1.9%
Q2 2025$7M-96%
Q1 2025-$46M+$34M
Q4 2024$296M+44%
Q3 2024$207M-13%

WMG has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has 12.4B diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

WMG Total Shares

Q3 2023: 516MQ4 2023: 516MQ1 2024: 518MQ2 2024: 518MQ3 2024: 518MQ4 2024: 518MQ1 2025: 520MQ2 2025: 521MQ3 2025: 519MQ4 2025: 519MQ1 2026: 519MQ2 2026: 524M
Q3 2023: 516MQ4 2023: 516MQ1 2024: 518MQ2 2024: 518MQ3 2024: 518MQ4 2024: 518MQ1 2025: 520MQ2 2025: 521MQ3 2025: 519MQ4 2025: 519MQ1 2026: 519MQ2 2026: 524M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+5.4M shares
1 year+0.6%+3.2M shares
3 years+1.6%+8.5M shares
5 years+2%+10.1M shares
Available history+4.5%+22.4M shares

WMG has the edge over GOOGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL has the edge over WMG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WMG Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 3.3xQ4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 4.3xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 4.2xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.0x
Q3 2023: 3.3xQ4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 4.3xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 4.2xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20263.0xModerate
Q1 20263.6xElevated
Q4 20254.2xHigh
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q2 20254.3xHigh
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20243.0xModerate
Q3 20243.3xElevated

WMG's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.3 years a year ago.

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

WMG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.0Neutral
Stochastic80.8Overbought

WMG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL has the edge over WMG on valuation relative to its sector.

WMG PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricWMGSector medianRelative
PE25x16x49% above
PE %22523 pts below

WMG is trading at 25x earnings, a 49% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

WMG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.86.2% above
20 week MA$28.511% above
50 week MA$28.99.6% above
100 week MA$29.96% above
200 week MA$30.82.9% above

WMG has the edge over GOOGL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 4.7% so far in 2026.

WMG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.9$37.5+25%
2021$37.5$43.5+16%
2022$43.5$35.6-18%
2023$35.6$35.8+0.5%
2024$35.8$31.5-12%
2025$31.5$30.0-4.8%
2026 YTD$30.0$31.7+5.7%

WMG has the edge over GOOGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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