GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has the edge over TLK overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

TLK

Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk

49
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

TLK trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

TLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TLK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL's PE is in its cheap range at 16x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 22x.

TLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current9.5x$11.49—
Cheap12x$14.58+27%
Fair15x$18.56+62%
Expensive17x$20.71+80%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TLK has the edge over GOOGL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

GOOGL has the edge over TLK on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

TLK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect TLK's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$14.27
Downside-20%$9.24

Calculated from the latest close: $11.49 on Nov 12.

TLK trails GOOGL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL has the edge over TLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TLK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.31Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.31Q3 2024: $1.26Q4 2024: $1.31Q1 2025: $1.30Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.21Q4 2025: $0.99Q1 2026: $0.90Q2 2026: $1.21
Q3 2023: $1.31Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.31Q3 2024: $1.26Q4 2024: $1.31Q1 2025: $1.30Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.21Q4 2025: $0.99Q1 2026: $0.90Q2 2026: $1.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.21-4.7%
Q1 2026$0.90-31%
Q4 2025$0.99-24%
Q3 2025$1.21-4%
Q2 2025$1.27-3.1%
Q1 2025$1.30-3%
Q4 2024$1.31-3.7%
Q3 2024$1.26-3.8%

TLK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.21 over the past year, against $1.70 in mid-2022.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL has the edge over TLK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TLK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.1BQ4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $4.2B
Q3 2023: $2.1BQ4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $4.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.2B+109%
Q1 2026$2B+1.5%
Q4 2025$2B-1.7%
Q3 2025$2B-0.9%
Q2 2025$2B-4%
Q1 2025$2B-2.1%
Q4 2024$2.1B-0.6%
Q3 2024$2B-2.2%

TLK's revenue has picked up after four years of holding roughly level: $4.2B last quarter, up 109% from the same quarter a year ago.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

TLK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $501MQ4 2023: $381MQ1 2024: $569MQ2 2024: $386MQ3 2024: $554MQ4 2024: $446MQ1 2025: $641MQ2 2025: $554MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $675MQ2 2026: $664M
Q3 2023: $501MQ4 2023: $381MQ1 2024: $569MQ2 2024: $386MQ3 2024: $554MQ4 2024: $446MQ1 2025: $641MQ2 2025: $554MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $675MQ2 2026: $664M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$663.7M+20%
Q1 2026$674.9M+5.3%
Q4 2025$374.3M-16%
Q3 2025$562.1M+1.5%
Q2 2025$554M+44%
Q1 2025$641.2M+13%
Q4 2024$446.3M+17%
Q3 2024$553.8M+11%

TLK has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has 12.4B diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

TLK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 991MQ4 2023: 991MQ1 2024: 991MQ2 2024: 991MQ3 2024: 991MQ4 2024: 991MQ1 2025: 991MQ2 2025: 991MQ3 2025: 991MQ4 2025: 991MQ1 2026: 990MQ2 2026: 988M
Q3 2023: 991MQ4 2023: 991MQ1 2024: 991MQ2 2024: 991MQ3 2024: 991MQ4 2024: 991MQ1 2025: 991MQ2 2025: 991MQ3 2025: 991MQ4 2025: 991MQ1 2026: 990MQ2 2026: 988M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1.4M shares
1 year-0.2%-2.4M shares
3 years-0.2%-2.4M shares
5 years-0.2%-2.4M shares
Available history-0.2%-2.4M shares

TLK has the edge over GOOGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TLK Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.6xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.3x
Q3 2023: 0.6xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 20240.6xVery low

TLK has the edge over GOOGL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

TLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic21.4Neutral

TLK's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

TLK PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTLKSector medianRelative
PE9.5x16x42% below
PE %12625 pts below

TLK has the edge over GOOGL on valuation relative to its sector.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has the edge over TLK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.03.9% below
20 week MA$13.515% below
50 week MA$16.731% below
100 week MA$17.032% below
200 week MA$20.043% below

TLK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 43% below its 200-week average.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has the edge over TLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.4$23.6-17%
2021$23.6$28.8+22%
2022$28.8$24.0-17%
2023$24.0$25.8+7.2%
2024$25.8$16.6-36%
2025$16.6$21.2+28%
2026 YTD$21.2$11.5-46%

TLK has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 46% so far in 2026.

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