GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.
GOOGL has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TKO
TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
TKO has the edge over GOOGL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
GOOGL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.
TKO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
TKO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
GOOGL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 16x | $299 | — |
| Cheap | 20x | $378 | +27% |
| Forward | 22x | $299 | — |
| Fair | 26x | $497 | +66% |
| Expensive | 31x | $586 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GOOGL has the edge over TKO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TKO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 26x | $194 | — |
| Current | 52x | $194 | — |
| Cheap | 65x | $243 | +25% |
| Fair | 78x | $290 | +49% |
| Expensive | 88x | $325 | +68% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TKO's PE is in its cheap range at 52x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings.
GOOGL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.
TKO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
TKO has the edge over GOOGL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.
GOOGL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.89 | -28% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.16 | +89% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.91 | +112% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.11 | +46% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.81 | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.13 | +34% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.38 | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.96 | +37% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.04 | +39% |
GOOGL has the edge over TKO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TKO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.51 | +102% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.71 | +42% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.85 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.68 | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.25 | +11150% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.61 | +$3.26 |
| Q2 2025 | $2.42 | +$3.61 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.97 | +$3.21 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.02 | -98% |
TKO earned $3.71 per share over the past year, up 42% from the year before.
GOOGL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $127.6B | +25% |
| Q2 2026 | $119.8B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $109.9B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $113.8B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.3B | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $96.4B | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $90.2B | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $96.5B | +12% |
GOOGL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $128B last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +1.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 36% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 31% | -1.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 32% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 34% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 32% | +4.6 points |
GOOGL has the edge over TKO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TKO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.6B | +26% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +62% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +64% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +54% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3B | +101% |
| Q4 2024 | $642.2M | +4.6% |
TKO has the edge over GOOGL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 28% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | 28% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 21% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.5% | -10 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | -4.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | -1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | +52 points |
| Q4 2024 | 16% | +5.6 points |
TKO's operating margin was 28% last quarter, up 12 points from the same quarter a year ago.
GOOGL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$9.1B | -137% |
| Q2 2026 | -$5.9B | -210% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.1B | -47% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.6B | -1.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $24.5B | +39% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.3B | -61% |
| Q1 2025 | $19B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $24.8B | +215% |
GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.
TKO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $472.2M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $373.9M | -5.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $694.5M | +327% |
| Q4 2025 | $309.9M | +445% |
| Q3 2025 | $416.8M | +76% |
| Q2 2025 | $396.2M | +72% |
| Q1 2025 | $162.8M | +174% |
| Q4 2024 | $56.8M | -74% |
TKO has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
GOOGL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +59M shares |
| 1 year | +1.4% | +165M shares |
| 3 years | -1.2% | -148M shares |
| 5 years | -6.8% | -907M shares |
| Available history | -10% | -1.4B shares |
GOOGL has 12.4B diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $5.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $11.5B |
| Q2 2025 | $13.6B |
| Q1 2025 | $15.1B |
| Q4 2024 | $15.6B |
GOOGL spent $5.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 90% from the year before.
TKO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.3% | -1.7M shares |
| 1 year | -63% | -125M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -9M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -10.1M shares |
TKO has the edge over GOOGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $156.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $129.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $838.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $40.7M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
TKO spent $1.2B buying back its own shares over the past year.
GOOGL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
GOOGL has the edge over TKO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TKO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
TKO's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
GOOGL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.7 | Oversold |
GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
TKO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 56.1 | Neutral |
TKO's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).
GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | GOOGL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 16x | 6% below |
| PE % | 1 | 26 | 25 pts below |
GOOGL has the edge over TKO on valuation relative to its sector.
TKO PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | TKO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 52x | 16x | 217% above |
| PE % | 7 | 24 | 17 pts below |
TKO is trading at 52x earnings, a 217% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $320.4 | 6.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $336.1 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $334.5 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $267.8 | 12% above |
| 200 week MA | $204.7 | 46% above |
TKO has stronger trend alignment. GOOGL is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus TKO above 3 of 4.
TKO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $181.3 | 7% above |
| 20 week MA | $185.4 | 4.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $195.0 | 0.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $181.5 | 6.9% above |
TKO's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 6.9% above its 100-week average.
GOOGL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $67.7 | $86.7 | +28% |
| 2021 | $86.7 | $146.9 | +69% |
| 2022 | $146.9 | $89.2 | -39% |
| 2023 | $89.2 | $139.7 | +57% |
| 2024 | $139.7 | $192.8 | +38% |
| 2025 | $192.8 | $313.5 | +63% |
| 2026 YTD | $313.5 | $298.7 | -4.7% |
GOOGL has the edge over TKO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TKO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $98.1 | $81.6 | -17% |
| 2024 | $81.6 | $144.0 | +77% |
| 2025 | $144.0 | $217.4 | +51% |
| 2026 YTD | $217.4 | $194.1 | -11% |
TKO has finished higher in two of the last three years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 11% so far in 2026.