GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

MTCH

Match Group, Inc.

70
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

MTCH has the edge over GOOGL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

MTCH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Stable

MTCH's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL has the edge over MTCH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MTCH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE120x239x359x478x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE120x239x359x478x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current14x$41.78—
Cheap15x$43.32+3.7%
Forward15x$41.78—
Fair31x$90.41+116%
Expensive151x$445+966%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTCH's PE is in its cheap range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

MTCH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MTCH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MTCH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MTCH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$51.63
Downside-16%$35.04

Calculated from the latest close: $41.78 on Nov 12.

MTCH trails GOOGL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL has the edge over MTCH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MTCH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.26Q1 2024: $2.28Q2 2024: $2.28Q3 2024: $2.22Q4 2024: $2.02Q1 2025: $2.02Q2 2025: $2.03Q3 2025: $2.14Q4 2025: $2.38Q1 2026: $2.62Q2 2026: $2.83Q3 2026: $2.94Forward: $2.86
Q4 2023: $2.26Q1 2024: $2.28Q2 2024: $2.28Q3 2024: $2.22Q4 2024: $2.02Q1 2025: $2.02Q2 2025: $2.03Q3 2025: $2.14Q4 2025: $2.38Q1 2026: $2.62Q2 2026: $2.83Q3 2026: $2.94Forward: $2.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.86-2.6%
Q3 2026$2.94+37%
Q2 2026$2.83+39%
Q1 2026$2.62+30%
Q4 2025$2.38+18%
Q3 2025$2.14-3.6%
Q2 2025$2.03-11%
Q1 2025$2.02-11%
Q4 2024$2.02-11%

MTCH earned $2.94 per share over the past year, up 37% from the year before.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL has the edge over MTCH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MTCH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $866MQ1 2024: $860MQ2 2024: $864MQ3 2024: $895MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $831MQ2 2025: $864MQ3 2025: $914MQ4 2025: $878MQ1 2026: $864MQ2 2026: $853MQ3 2026: $891M
Q4 2023: $866MQ1 2024: $860MQ2 2024: $864MQ3 2024: $895MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $831MQ2 2025: $864MQ3 2025: $914MQ4 2025: $878MQ1 2026: $864MQ2 2026: $853MQ3 2026: $891M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$891.2M-2.5%
Q2 2026$853.1M-1.2%
Q1 2026$863.9M+3.9%
Q4 2025$878M+2.1%
Q3 2025$914.3M+2.1%
Q2 2025$863.7M0%
Q1 2025$831.2M-3.3%
Q4 2024$860.2M-0.7%

MTCH's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $891M last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

MTCH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $259MQ1 2024: $267MQ2 2024: $116MQ3 2024: $252MQ4 2024: $247MQ1 2025: $178MQ2 2025: $231MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $308MQ1 2026: $174MQ2 2026: $353MQ3 2026: $305M
Q4 2023: $259MQ1 2024: $267MQ2 2024: $116MQ3 2024: $252MQ4 2024: $247MQ1 2025: $178MQ2 2025: $231MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $308MQ1 2026: $174MQ2 2026: $353MQ3 2026: $305M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$305.2M-0.5%
Q2 2026$352.5M+53%
Q1 2026$174M-2.1%
Q4 2025$308.1M+25%
Q3 2025$306.8M+22%
Q2 2025$231M+99%
Q1 2025$177.7M-33%
Q4 2024$247.1M-4.5%

MTCH has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has 12.4B diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

MTCH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 293MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 282MQ3 2024: 276MQ4 2024: 279MQ1 2025: 272MQ2 2025: 264MQ3 2025: 260MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 251MQ2 2026: 248MQ3 2026: 242M
Q4 2023: 293MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 282MQ3 2024: 276MQ4 2024: 279MQ1 2025: 272MQ2 2025: 264MQ3 2025: 260MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 251MQ2 2026: 248MQ3 2026: 242M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.3%-5.8M shares
1 year-7.1%-18.4M shares
3 years-18%-51.4M shares
5 years-24%-75M shares
Available history-23%-73.4M shares

MTCH has the edge over GOOGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL has the edge over MTCH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MTCH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.3xElevated
Q2 20253.4xElevated
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 20243.1xElevated

MTCH's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.3 years a year ago.

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

MTCH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.4Neutral
Stochastic43.4Neutral

MTCH's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

MTCH PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMTCHSector medianRelative
PE14x16x14% below
PE %112615 pts below

MTCH has the edge over GOOGL on valuation relative to its sector.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

MTCH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$41.60.4% above
20 week MA$40.63% above
50 week MA$36.215% above
100 week MA$34.521% above
200 week MA$35.617% above

MTCH has the edge over GOOGL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 4.7% so far in 2026.

MTCH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$84.0$152.1+81%
2021$152.1$133.4-12%
2022$133.4$40.6-70%
2023$40.6$36.5-10%
2024$36.5$33.2-9.1%
2025$33.2$32.5-1.9%
2026 YTD$32.5$41.8+28%

MTCH has the edge over GOOGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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