GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has a slight edge over MAX overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

MAX

MediaAlpha, Inc.

66
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

MAX offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

MAX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy

MAX's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL has the edge over MAX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MAX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x78x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x78x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.1x$14.77-0.3%
Current8.1x$14.81—
Forward13x$14.81—
Fair26x$46.73+216%
Expensive64x$116+685%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MAX's PE is 8.1x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

MAX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

MAX has the edge over GOOGL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MAX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MAX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$22.46
Downside-34%$9.83

Calculated from the latest close: $14.81 on Nov 12.

MAX trails GOOGL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL has the edge over MAX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MAX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.89Q1 2024: $-0.68Q2 2024: $-0.29Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.31Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $-0.11Q3 2025: $-0.02Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $1.62Q3 2026: $1.82Forward: $1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.89Q1 2024: $-0.68Q2 2024: $-0.29Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.31Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $-0.11Q3 2025: $-0.02Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $1.62Q3 2026: $1.82Forward: $1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.17-36%
Q3 2026$1.82+$1.84
Q2 2026$1.62+$1.73
Q1 2026$0.64+121%
Q4 2025$0.39+26%
Q3 2025-$0.02-112%
Q2 2025-$0.11+$0.18
Q1 2025$0.29+$0.97
Q4 2024$0.31+$1.20

MAX has returned to profit: it earned $1.82 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $128B last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

MAX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $117MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $178MQ3 2024: $259MQ4 2024: $301MQ1 2025: $264MQ2 2025: $252MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $291MQ1 2026: $310MQ2 2026: $317MQ3 2026: $376M
Q4 2023: $117MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $178MQ3 2024: $259MQ4 2024: $301MQ1 2025: $264MQ2 2025: $252MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $291MQ1 2026: $310MQ2 2026: $317MQ3 2026: $376M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$375.9M+23%
Q2 2026$316.9M+26%
Q1 2026$310M+17%
Q4 2025$291.2M-3.2%
Q3 2025$306.5M+18%
Q2 2025$251.6M+41%
Q1 2025$264.3M+109%
Q4 2024$300.6M+157%

MAX's revenue is growing: $376M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

MAX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $42MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $42MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.5M-8.8%
Q2 2026$41.8M+64%
Q1 2026-$1.6M-107%
Q4 2025-$7.5M-152%
Q3 2025$23.6M+194%
Q2 2025$25.5M+19%
Q1 2025$23.6M+1338%
Q4 2024$14.5M+174%

MAX has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has the edge over MAX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MAX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 55MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 56MQ2 2026: 62MQ3 2026: 63M
Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 55MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 56MQ2 2026: 62MQ3 2026: 63M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.2%+759K shares
1 year+11%+6.2M shares
3 years+36%+16.6M shares
5 years+2.7%+1.6M shares

MAX has 63M diluted shares, up 11% from a year ago, despite $64M in buybacks over the past year.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL has the edge over MAX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MAX Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 92.7xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 5.2xQ4 2025: 4.2xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 1.6x
Q2 2024: 92.7xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 5.2xQ4 2025: 4.2xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20263.0xModerate
Q4 20254.2xHigh
Q3 20255.2xHigh
Q2 20253.8xElevated
Q1 20252.1xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate

MAX's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.2 years a year ago.

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

MAX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.2Neutral
Stochastic85.1Overbought

MAX's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

MAX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMAXSector medianRelative
PE8.1x16x51% below
PE %18279 pts below

MAX has the edge over GOOGL on valuation relative to its sector.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

MAX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.023% above
20 week MA$12.519% above
50 week MA$11.034% above
100 week MA$10.936% above
200 week MA$12.122% above

MAX has the edge over GOOGL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 4.7% so far in 2026.

MAX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.8$45.0+33%
2021$45.0$15.4-66%
2022$15.4$9.97-35%
2023$9.97$11.2+12%
2024$11.2$11.1-0.1%
2025$11.1$12.7+14%
2026 YTD$12.7$14.8+17%

MAX has the edge over GOOGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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