GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has the edge over GRPN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

GRPN

Groupon, Inc.

53
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

GRPN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

GRPN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

GRPN's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL's PE is in its cheap range at 16x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 22x.

GRPN PE Valuation

GRPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

GRPN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect GRPN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GRPN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GRPN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$20.05
Downside-39%$7.44

Calculated from the latest close: $12.21 on Nov 12.

GRPN trails GOOGL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL has the edge over GRPN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

GRPN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.77Q1 2024: $-1.15Q2 2024: $-0.99Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $-1.51Q1 2025: $-1.01Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $-3.55Q4 2025: $-2.08Q1 2026: $-2.57Q2 2026: $-3.07Q3 2026: $-0.18Forward: $0.67
Q4 2023: $-1.77Q1 2024: $-1.15Q2 2024: $-0.99Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $-1.51Q1 2025: $-1.01Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $-3.55Q4 2025: $-2.08Q1 2026: $-2.57Q2 2026: $-3.07Q3 2026: $-0.18Forward: $0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.67—
Q3 2026-$0.18+$3.37
Q2 2026-$3.07-$2.77
Q1 2026-$2.57-$1.56
Q4 2025-$2.08-$0.57
Q3 2025-$3.55-646%
Q2 2025-$0.30+$0.69
Q1 2025-$1.01+$0.14
Q4 2024-$1.51+$0.26

GRPN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.18 per share over the past year, against $10.07 at its worst in late 2020.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL has the edge over GRPN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GRPN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $125MQ3 2024: $114MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $133MQ1 2026: $117MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $125M
Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $125MQ3 2024: $114MQ4 2024: $130MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $133MQ1 2026: $117MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $125M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$125.5M+2.1%
Q2 2026$124.7M-0.8%
Q1 2026$117.2M0%
Q4 2025$132.7M+1.8%
Q3 2025$122.8M+7.3%
Q2 2025$125.7M+0.9%
Q1 2025$117.2M-4.8%
Q4 2024$130.4M-5.3%

GRPN's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $125M last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

GRPN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$20MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: −$25MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: −$14MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$46M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$20MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: −$25MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: −$14MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$46M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$45.8M-$21.2M
Q2 2026$15M-40%
Q1 2026-$13.5M-$9.8M
Q4 2025$53M-16%
Q3 2025-$24.6M-$4.9M
Q2 2025$25.2M+133%
Q1 2025-$3.8M+$10.1M
Q4 2024$63.2M+24%

GRPN has burned cash in most quarters: $9M over the past year, down 85% from the year before.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has 12.4B diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

GRPN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.3%+1.7M shares
1 year+0.1%+49.9K shares
3 years+29%+9.1M shares
5 years+22%+7.3M shares
Available history+43%+12.3M shares

GRPN has the edge over GOOGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL has the edge over GRPN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GRPN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.9xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -2.9xQ4 2024: -6.2xQ1 2025: -8.0xQ2 2025: -7.8xQ3 2025: -6.1xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 5.8x
Q4 2023: -3.9xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -2.8xQ3 2024: -2.9xQ4 2024: -6.2xQ1 2025: -8.0xQ2 2025: -7.8xQ3 2025: -6.1xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 5.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.8xHigh
Q2 20264.0xHigh
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 2025-6.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-8.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.2xNet Cash

GRPN's net debt is about 5.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

GRPN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.6Neutral
Stochastic2.4Oversold

GRPN's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

GRPN PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGRPNSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

GRPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has the edge over GRPN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GRPN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.928% below
20 week MA$20.541% below
50 week MA$17.430% below
100 week MA$19.437% below
200 week MA$15.119% below

GRPN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 19% below its 200-week average.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has the edge over GRPN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GRPN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.6$37.8-19%
2021$37.8$25.4-33%
2022$25.4$7.27-71%
2023$7.27$12.8+77%
2024$12.8$11.9-7.1%
2025$11.9$18.1+51%
2026 YTD$18.1$12.2-32%

GRPN has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 32% so far in 2026.

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