GNW

Genworth Financial, Inc.

39
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation17/ 100
Upside potential4/ 100
Risk potential76/ 100

GNW trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over GNW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

GNW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

GNW's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GNW.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

GNW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x53x80x107x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x53x80x107x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2.5x$0.35-96%
Fair9.5x$1.33-84%
Expensive32x$4.44-47%
Current60x$8.41—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GNW's PE is in its expensive range at 60x.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over GNW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GNW Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for GNW to show an outlook.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GNW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+3%$8.67
Downside-76%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $8.41 on Nov 12.

GNW trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GNW, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GNW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.00Q1 2024: $0.19Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.68Q1 2025: $0.50Q2 2025: $0.45Q3 2025: $0.54Q4 2025: $0.54Q1 2026: $0.53Q2 2026: $0.53Q3 2026: $0.14
Q4 2023: $0.00Q1 2024: $0.19Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.68Q1 2025: $0.50Q2 2025: $0.45Q3 2025: $0.54Q4 2025: $0.54Q1 2026: $0.53Q2 2026: $0.53Q3 2026: $0.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.14-74%
Q2 2026$0.53+18%
Q1 2026$0.53+6%
Q4 2025$0.54-21%
Q3 2025$0.54+170%
Q2 2025$0.45+543%
Q1 2025$0.50+163%
Q4 2024$0.68+$0.68

GNW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.14 over the past year, against $2.18 in mid-2021.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over GNW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GNW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B-7.3%
Q2 2026$1.9B+5.8%
Q1 2026$1.8B-0.5%
Q4 2025$1.8B+0.1%
Q3 2025$1.9B+2.9%
Q2 2025$1.8B+1.5%
Q1 2025$1.8B-4.2%
Q4 2024$1.8B-6.8%

GNW's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $1.8B last quarter, down 7.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over GNW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GNW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $147MQ1 2024: −$107MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $161MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $200MQ1 2026: $91MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $100M
Q4 2023: $147MQ1 2024: −$107MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $161MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $200MQ1 2026: $91MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $100M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$100M+15%
Q2 2026$52M+767%
Q1 2026$91M+168%
Q4 2025$200M+641%
Q3 2025$87M-46%
Q2 2025$6M-14%
Q1 2025$34M+$141M
Q4 2024$27M-82%

GNW has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

GNW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 449MQ1 2024: 450MQ2 2024: 441MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 439MQ1 2025: 423MQ2 2025: 418MQ3 2025: 413MQ4 2025: 414MQ1 2026: 394MQ2 2026: 386MQ3 2026: 376M
Q4 2023: 449MQ1 2024: 450MQ2 2024: 441MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 439MQ1 2025: 423MQ2 2025: 418MQ3 2025: 413MQ4 2025: 414MQ1 2026: 394MQ2 2026: 386MQ3 2026: 376M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.8%-10.8M shares
1 year-9.1%-37.8M shares
3 years-19%-90.5M shares
5 years-27%-139M shares
Available history-26%-135M shares

GNW has the edge over GS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has 301M diluted shares, down 4.4% from a year ago, with $15B in buybacks over the past year.

GNW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.8xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.6x
Q4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.8xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash

GNW has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GNW.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over GNW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GNW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.9Neutral
Stochastic3.3Oversold

GNW's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

GNW PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGNWSector medianRelative
PE60x13x361% above
PE %916328 pts above

GNW is trading at 60x earnings, a 361% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over GNW on valuation relative to its sector.

GNW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.036.9% below
20 week MA$9.5712% below
50 week MA$9.067.2% below
100 week MA$8.340.8% above
200 week MA$7.2416% above

GNW has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 16% above its 200-week average.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over GNW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GNW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.36$4.360%
2021$4.36$4.09-6.2%
2022$4.09$5.27+29%
2023$5.27$6.68+27%
2024$6.68$6.97+4.3%
2025$6.97$9.14+31%
2026 YTD$9.14$8.41-8%

GNW has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 8% so far in 2026.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over GNW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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