GNW

Genworth Financial, Inc.

39
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation17/ 100
Upside potential4/ 100
Risk potential76/ 100

GNW's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 60x earnings, about six times its usual 9.7x. Its downside scenario is more than ten times its upside.

GNW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

GNW's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GNW.

GNW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x53x80x107x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x53x80x107x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2.5x$0.35-96%
Fair9.5x$1.33-84%
Expensive32x$4.44-47%
Current60x$8.41—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GNW's PE is in its expensive range at 60x.

GNW Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for GNW to show an outlook.

GNW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+3%$8.67
Downside-76%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $8.41 on Nov 12.

GNW's one-year downside scenario is more than ten times its upside: −76% against +3.1%.

GNW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.00Q1 2024: $0.19Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.68Q1 2025: $0.50Q2 2025: $0.45Q3 2025: $0.54Q4 2025: $0.54Q1 2026: $0.53Q2 2026: $0.53Q3 2026: $0.14
Q4 2023: $0.00Q1 2024: $0.19Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.68Q1 2025: $0.50Q2 2025: $0.45Q3 2025: $0.54Q4 2025: $0.54Q1 2026: $0.53Q2 2026: $0.53Q3 2026: $0.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.14-74%
Q2 2026$0.53+18%
Q1 2026$0.53+6%
Q4 2025$0.54-21%
Q3 2025$0.54+170%
Q2 2025$0.45+543%
Q1 2025$0.50+163%
Q4 2024$0.68+$0.68

GNW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.14 over the past year, against $2.18 in mid-2021.

GNW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B-7.3%
Q2 2026$1.9B+5.8%
Q1 2026$1.8B-0.5%
Q4 2025$1.8B+0.1%
Q3 2025$1.9B+2.9%
Q2 2025$1.8B+1.5%
Q1 2025$1.8B-4.2%
Q4 2024$1.8B-6.8%

GNW's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $1.8B last quarter, down 7.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

GNW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $147MQ1 2024: −$107MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $161MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $200MQ1 2026: $91MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $100M
Q4 2023: $147MQ1 2024: −$107MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $161MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $200MQ1 2026: $91MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $100M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$100M+15%
Q2 2026$52M+767%
Q1 2026$91M+168%
Q4 2025$200M+641%
Q3 2025$87M-46%
Q2 2025$6M-14%
Q1 2025$34M+$141M
Q4 2024$27M-82%

GNW's free cash flow was $443M over the past year, up 188% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GNW.

GNW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 449MQ1 2024: 450MQ2 2024: 441MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 439MQ1 2025: 423MQ2 2025: 418MQ3 2025: 413MQ4 2025: 414MQ1 2026: 394MQ2 2026: 386MQ3 2026: 376M
Q4 2023: 449MQ1 2024: 450MQ2 2024: 441MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 439MQ1 2025: 423MQ2 2025: 418MQ3 2025: 413MQ4 2025: 414MQ1 2026: 394MQ2 2026: 386MQ3 2026: 376M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.8%-10.8M shares
1 year-9.1%-37.8M shares
3 years-19%-90.5M shares
5 years-27%-139M shares
Available history-26%-135M shares

GNW has 376M diluted shares, down 9.1% from a year ago, with $306M in buybacks over the past year.

GNW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.8xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.6x
Q4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.8xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash

GNW has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GNW.

GNW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.9Neutral
Stochastic3.3Oversold

GNW's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

GNW PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGNWSector medianRelative
PE60x13x361% above
PE %916328 pts above

GNW is trading at 60x earnings, a 361% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GNW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.036.9% below
20 week MA$9.5712% below
50 week MA$9.067.2% below
100 week MA$8.340.8% above
200 week MA$7.2416% above

GNW has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 16% above its 200-week average.

GNW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.36$4.360%
2021$4.36$4.09-6.2%
2022$4.09$5.27+29%
2023$5.27$6.68+27%
2024$6.68$6.97+4.3%
2025$6.97$9.14+31%
2026 YTD$9.14$8.41-8%

GNW has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 8% so far in 2026.

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