GME
GameStop Corp.
GME offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ULTA
Ulta Beauty, Inc.
ULTA has the edge over GME overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
GME Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
GME's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ULTA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
ULTA's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
GME PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 17x | $25.62 | — |
| Cheap | 18x | $27.96 | +9.1% |
| Forward | 38x | $25.62 | — |
| Fair | 43x | $66.84 | +161% |
| Expensive | 252x | $388 | +1414% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GME has the edge over ULTA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ULTA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $448 | -31% |
| Fair | 20x | $561 | -14% |
| Forward | 21x | $651 | — |
| Current | 24x | $651 | — |
| Expensive | 29x | $809 | +24% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ULTA's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
GME Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong decline | |
| Strong decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect GME's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.
ULTA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
ULTA has the edge over GME on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
GME Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.67 | -56% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.54 | +93% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.34 | +153% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.77 | +133% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.89 | +394% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.80 | +515% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.53 | +563% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.33 | +1550% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.18 | +$0.21 |
GME has the edge over ULTA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ULTA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $31.27 | +14% |
| Q3 2026 | $27.45 | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $26.68 | +4.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $25.64 | +1.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $26.05 | +4.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.05 | +4.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.57 | -0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $25.34 | -2.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $24.97 | +1.3% |
ULTA earned $27.45 per share over the past year, up 5.4% from the year before.
GME Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $790.2M | -19% |
| Q2 2026 | $835.3M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | -14% |
| Q4 2025 | $821M | -4.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $972.2M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $732.4M | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3B | -28% |
| Q4 2024 | $860.3M | -20% |
GME's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $790M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +13 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +19 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5% | +8.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.8% | +9.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.5% | +4.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.2% | +3.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3.9% | -2.5 points |
GME has the edge over ULTA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ULTA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B | +8.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.2B | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.9B | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9B | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.8B | +4.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.5B | -1.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.5B | +1.7% |
ULTA has the edge over GME on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | -2.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | -1.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 15% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | -0.6 points |
ULTA's operating margin was 13% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
GME Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $60.7M | -46% |
| Q2 2026 | $332.9M | +76% |
| Q1 2026 | $187.4M | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $107M | +435% |
| Q3 2025 | $113.3M | +73% |
| Q2 2025 | $189.6M | +$304.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $158.8M | +$177.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $20M | +80% |
GME has the edge over ULTA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ULTA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $38.4M | +96% |
| Q2 2026 | $203.6M | +44% |
| Q1 2026 | $989M | +2.7% |
| Q4 2025 | -$81.6M | +$89.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $19.6M | -81% |
| Q2 2025 | $141M | +106% |
| Q1 2025 | $962.6M | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | -$171.1M | +$6M |
ULTA generated $1.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 21% from the year before.
GME Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +300K shares |
| 1 year | +8.4% | +46.1M shares |
| 3 years | +94% | +288M shares |
| 5 years | +104% | +302M shares |
| Available history | +80% | +264M shares |
GME has 593M diluted shares, up 8.4% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | $21.8M |
| Q4 2019 | $114M |
ULTA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.1% | -902K shares |
| 1 year | -4.5% | -2M shares |
| 3 years | -14% | -6.8M shares |
| 5 years | -22% | -12M shares |
| Available history | -25% | -14.7M shares |
ULTA has the edge over GME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $247.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $545.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $197.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $224.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $109.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $369.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $237.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $263.6M |
ULTA spent $1.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 24% from the year before.
GME Net Leverage
ULTA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.0x | Very low |
ULTA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
GME Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.5 | Neutral |
GME's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).
ULTA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 86.9 | Overbought |
ULTA's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).
GME PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GME | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 7.7% below |
| PE % | 15 | 47 | 32 pts below |
GME has the edge over ULTA on valuation relative to its sector.
ULTA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ULTA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 18x | 32% above |
| PE % | 72 | 47 | 25 pts above |
ULTA is trading at 24x earnings, a 32% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
GME Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $25.2 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $22.4 | 15% above |
| 50 week MA | $22.6 | 13% above |
| 100 week MA | $24.0 | 7% above |
| 200 week MA | $21.8 | 17% above |
GME is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 200-week average.
ULTA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $601.6 | 8.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $548.9 | 19% above |
| 50 week MA | $565.1 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $508.9 | 28% above |
| 200 week MA | $475.4 | 37% above |
ULTA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 37% above its 200-week average.
GME Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $1.48 | $5.04 | +241% |
| 2021 | $5.04 | $38.0 | +655% |
| 2022 | $38.0 | $20.1 | -47% |
| 2023 | $20.1 | $17.5 | -13% |
| 2024 | $17.5 | $32.2 | +84% |
| 2025 | $32.2 | $21.1 | -35% |
| 2026 YTD | $21.1 | $25.6 | +21% |
GME has the edge over ULTA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ULTA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $253.2 | $264.6 | +4.5% |
| 2021 | $264.6 | $392.4 | +48% |
| 2022 | $392.4 | $456.4 | +16% |
| 2023 | $456.4 | $490.0 | +7.4% |
| 2024 | $490.0 | $442.2 | -9.8% |
| 2025 | $442.2 | $607.5 | +37% |
| 2026 YTD | $607.5 | $651.0 | +7.2% |
ULTA has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.