ULTA

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

59
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation42/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

ULTA's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 11%, but its operating margin fell 1 points to 12%. At 24x earnings, it's trading above its usual 20x.

ULTA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ULTA's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

ULTA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x55x83x111x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x55x83x111x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$448-31%
Fair20x$561-14%
Current24x$651—
Expensive29x$809+24%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ULTA's PE is in its expensive range at 24x.

ULTA Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for ULTA to show an outlook.

ULTA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$787.59
Downside-21%$514.02

Calculated from the latest close: $650.97 on Nov 12.

ULTA's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +21% against −21%.

ULTA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $24.64Q1 2024: $26.03Q2 2024: $25.62Q3 2024: $24.90Q4 2024: $24.97Q1 2025: $25.34Q2 2025: $25.57Q3 2025: $26.05Q4 2025: $26.05Q1 2026: $25.64Q2 2026: $26.68Q3 2026: $27.45
Q4 2023: $24.64Q1 2024: $26.03Q2 2024: $25.62Q3 2024: $24.90Q4 2024: $24.97Q1 2025: $25.34Q2 2025: $25.57Q3 2025: $26.05Q4 2025: $26.05Q1 2026: $25.64Q2 2026: $26.68Q3 2026: $27.45
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$27.45+5.4%
Q2 2026$26.68+4.3%
Q1 2026$25.64+1.2%
Q4 2025$26.05+4.3%
Q3 2025$26.05+4.6%
Q2 2025$25.57-0.2%
Q1 2025$25.34-2.7%
Q4 2024$24.97+1.3%

ULTA earned $27.45 per share over the past year, up 5.4% from the year before.

ULTA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $3.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $3.9BQ2 2026: $3.2BQ3 2026: $3B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $3.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $3.9BQ2 2026: $3.2BQ3 2026: $3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3B+8.9%
Q2 2026$3.2B+11%
Q1 2026$3.9B+12%
Q4 2025$2.9B+13%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.3%
Q2 2025$2.8B+4.5%
Q1 2025$3.5B-1.9%
Q4 2024$2.5B+1.7%

ULTA's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $3B last quarter, up 8.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

ULTA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$177MQ1 2024: $994MQ2 2024: $68MQ3 2024: $104MQ4 2024: −$171MQ1 2025: $963MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: −$82MQ1 2026: $989MQ2 2026: $204MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: −$177MQ1 2024: $994MQ2 2024: $68MQ3 2024: $104MQ4 2024: −$171MQ1 2025: $963MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: −$82MQ1 2026: $989MQ2 2026: $204MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$38.4M+96%
Q2 2026$203.6M+44%
Q1 2026$989M+2.7%
Q4 2025-$81.6M+$89.4M
Q3 2025$19.6M-81%
Q2 2025$141M+106%
Q1 2025$962.6M-3.2%
Q4 2024-$171.1M+$6M

ULTA generated $1.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 21% from the year before.

ULTA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 49MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 45MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 43M
Q4 2023: 49MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 45MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.1%-902K shares
1 year-4.5%-2M shares
3 years-14%-6.8M shares
5 years-22%-12M shares
Available history-25%-14.7M shares

ULTA has 43M diluted shares, down 4.5% from a year ago, with $1.2B in buybacks over the past year.

ULTA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.0xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.0xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 20240.0xVery low

ULTA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ULTA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic86.9Overbought

ULTA's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

ULTA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricULTASector medianRelative
PE24x18x32% above
PE %724725 pts above

ULTA is trading at 24x earnings, a 32% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ULTA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$601.68.2% above
20 week MA$548.919% above
50 week MA$565.115% above
100 week MA$508.928% above
200 week MA$475.437% above

ULTA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 37% above its 200-week average.

ULTA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$253.2$264.6+4.5%
2021$264.6$392.4+48%
2022$392.4$456.4+16%
2023$456.4$490.0+7.4%
2024$490.0$442.2-9.8%
2025$442.2$607.5+37%
2026 YTD$607.5$651.0+7.2%

ULTA has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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