GME
GameStop Corp.
GME offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MAT
Mattel, Inc.
MAT has the edge over GME overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
GME Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
GME's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
MAT's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
GME PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 17x | $25.62 | — |
| Cheap | 18x | $27.96 | +9.1% |
| Forward | 38x | $25.62 | — |
| Fair | 43x | $66.84 | +161% |
| Expensive | 252x | $388 | +1414% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GME has the edge over MAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 9.2x | $15.53 | — |
| Cheap | 9.4x | $15.95 | +2.7% |
| Forward | 12x | $15.53 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $21.78 | +40% |
| Expensive | 32x | $53.59 | +245% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MAT's PE is in its cheap range at 9.2x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 12x, in its fair range.
GME Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong decline | |
| Strong decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect GME's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.
MAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
MAT has the edge over GME on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
GME Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.67 | -56% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.54 | +93% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.34 | +153% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.77 | +133% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.89 | +394% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.80 | +515% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.53 | +563% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.33 | +1550% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.18 | +$0.21 |
GME has the edge over MAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.34 | -21% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.69 | +28% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.34 | -12% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.56 | +1.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.24 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.32 | -17% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.53 | +68% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.54 | +88% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.58 | +163% |
MAT's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.69 over the past year, against $3.12 in mid-2022.
GME Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $790.2M | -19% |
| Q2 2026 | $835.3M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | -14% |
| Q4 2025 | $821M | -4.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $972.2M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $732.4M | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3B | -28% |
| Q4 2024 | $860.3M | -20% |
GME's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $790M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +13 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +19 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5% | +8.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.8% | +9.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.5% | +4.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.2% | +3.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3.9% | -2.5 points |
GME's operating margin was 20% last quarter, up 13 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
MAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.8B | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $862.2M | +4.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.8B | +7.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.7B | -5.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | -5.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $826.6M | +2.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.6B | +1.6% |
MAT has the edge over GME on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 26% | +4.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1% | -6.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | -12% | -5.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 22% | -4.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7.7% | 0 points |
| Q1 2025 | -6.4% | -2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.6% | +1 points |
MAT has the edge over GME on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GME Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $60.7M | -46% |
| Q2 2026 | $332.9M | +76% |
| Q1 2026 | $187.4M | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $107M | +435% |
| Q3 2025 | $113.3M | +73% |
| Q2 2025 | $189.6M | +$304.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $158.8M | +$177.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $20M | +80% |
GME has the edge over MAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.7M | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | -$221.5M | +$101.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$67.8M | -1799% |
| Q4 2025 | $760.8M | -8.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $41.1M | -48% |
| Q2 2025 | -$323.3M | -$53.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $4M | -81% |
| Q4 2024 | $835.5M | -9.6% |
MAT still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $522M over the past year.
GME Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +300K shares |
| 1 year | +8.4% | +46.1M shares |
| 3 years | +94% | +288M shares |
| 5 years | +104% | +302M shares |
| Available history | +80% | +264M shares |
GME has 593M diluted shares, up 8.4% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | $21.8M |
| Q4 2019 | $114M |
MAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.7% | -2.1M shares |
| 1 year | -9.8% | -31.3M shares |
| 3 years | -20% | -70.7M shares |
| 5 years | -19% | -67.4M shares |
| Available history | -18% | -61.5M shares |
MAT has the edge over GME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $100M |
| Q1 2026 | $200M |
| Q4 2025 | $187.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $202.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $50M |
| Q1 2025 | $160M |
| Q4 2024 | $131.7M |
MAT spent $496M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 8.9% from the year before.
GME Net Leverage
MAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1x | Healthy |
MAT's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.3 years a year ago.
GME Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.5 | Neutral |
GME's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).
MAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 60.3 | Neutral |
MAT's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).
GME PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GME | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 7.7% below |
| PE % | 15 | 47 | 32 pts below |
GME is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
MAT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.2x | 18x | 49% below |
| PE % | 14 | 47 | 33 pts below |
MAT has the edge over GME on valuation relative to its sector.
GME Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $25.2 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $22.4 | 15% above |
| 50 week MA | $22.6 | 13% above |
| 100 week MA | $24.0 | 7% above |
| 200 week MA | $21.8 | 17% above |
GME has the edge over MAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.6 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $14.8 | 4.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $16.1 | 3.8% below |
| 100 week MA | $17.4 | 11% below |
| 200 week MA | $18.2 | 15% below |
MAT's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
GME Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $1.48 | $5.04 | +241% |
| 2021 | $5.04 | $38.0 | +655% |
| 2022 | $38.0 | $20.1 | -47% |
| 2023 | $20.1 | $17.5 | -13% |
| 2024 | $17.5 | $32.2 | +84% |
| 2025 | $32.2 | $21.1 | -35% |
| 2026 YTD | $21.1 | $25.6 | +21% |
GME has the edge over MAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $13.8 | $17.5 | +27% |
| 2021 | $17.5 | $20.7 | +18% |
| 2022 | $20.7 | $16.9 | -18% |
| 2023 | $16.9 | $18.9 | +12% |
| 2024 | $18.9 | $18.0 | -4.9% |
| 2025 | $18.0 | $20.3 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.3 | $15.5 | -23% |
MAT has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 23% so far in 2026.