GME

GameStop Corp.

49
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

GME has the edge over GPK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

GPK

Graphic Packaging Holding Company

32
Fundamentals37/ 100
Valuation8/ 100
Upside potential7/ 100
Risk potential75/ 100

GPK trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Unavailable

GME's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GPK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Weak

GPK's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

GME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current17x$25.62—
Cheap18x$27.96+9.1%
Forward38x$25.62—
Fair43x$66.84+161%
Expensive252x$388+1414%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GME has the edge over GPK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GPK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x23x35x47x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x23x35x47x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$2.73-75%
Forward12x$10.79—
Fair14x$3.54-67%
Expensive27x$6.70-38%
Current43x$10.79—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GPK's PE is in its expensive range at 43x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

GME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Strong decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GME's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

GPK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

GPK has the edge over GME on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

GME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$31.72
Downside-51%$12.64

Calculated from the latest close: $25.62 on Nov 12.

GME has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GPK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GPK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+5%$11.38
Downside-75%$2.66

Calculated from the latest close: $10.79 on Nov 12.

GPK trails GME on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GME Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.67-56%
Q3 2026$1.54+93%
Q2 2026$1.34+153%
Q1 2026$0.77+133%
Q4 2025$0.89+394%
Q3 2025$0.80+515%
Q2 2025$0.53+563%
Q1 2025$0.33+1550%
Q4 2024$0.18+$0.21

GME has the edge over GPK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GPK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.34Q1 2024: $2.20Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $2.33Q4 2024: $2.16Q1 2025: $2.05Q2 2025: $1.77Q3 2025: $1.70Q4 2025: $1.48Q1 2026: $0.92Q2 2026: $0.66Q3 2026: $0.25Forward: $0.89
Q4 2023: $2.34Q1 2024: $2.20Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $2.33Q4 2024: $2.16Q1 2025: $2.05Q2 2025: $1.77Q3 2025: $1.70Q4 2025: $1.48Q1 2026: $0.92Q2 2026: $0.66Q3 2026: $0.25Forward: $0.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.89+257%
Q3 2026$0.25-85%
Q2 2026$0.66-63%
Q1 2026$0.92-55%
Q4 2025$1.48-31%
Q3 2025$1.70-27%
Q2 2025$1.77-24%
Q1 2025$2.05-6.8%
Q4 2024$2.16-7.7%

GPK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.25 over the past year, against $2.34 in late 2023.

GME Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$790.2M-19%
Q2 2026$835.3M+14%
Q1 2026$1.1B-14%
Q4 2025$821M-4.6%
Q3 2025$972.2M+22%
Q2 2025$732.4M-17%
Q1 2025$1.3B-28%
Q4 2024$860.3M-20%

GME's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $790M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

GPK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+0.1%
Q2 2026$2.2B-0.7%
Q1 2026$2.2B+1.7%
Q4 2025$2.1B+0.4%
Q3 2025$2.2B-1.2%
Q2 2025$2.2B-1.5%
Q1 2025$2.1B-6.2%
Q4 2024$2.1B-6.8%

GPK has the edge over GME on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GME Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$60.7M-46%
Q2 2026$332.9M+76%
Q1 2026$187.4M+18%
Q4 2025$107M+435%
Q3 2025$113.3M+73%
Q2 2025$189.6M+$304.3M
Q1 2025$158.8M+$177.5M
Q4 2024$20M+80%

GME has the edge over GPK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GPK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $442MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $187MQ4 2024: $489MQ1 2025: −$174MQ2 2025: $267MQ3 2025: $227MQ4 2025: $521MQ1 2026: −$113MQ2 2026: $158MQ3 2026: $250M
Q4 2023: $442MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $187MQ4 2024: $489MQ1 2025: −$174MQ2 2025: $267MQ3 2025: $227MQ4 2025: $521MQ1 2026: −$113MQ2 2026: $158MQ3 2026: $250M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$250M+10%
Q2 2026$158M-41%
Q1 2026-$113M+$61M
Q4 2025$521M+6.5%
Q3 2025$227M+21%
Q2 2025$267M+66%
Q1 2025-$174M-5900%
Q4 2024$489M+11%

GPK still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $816M over the past year.

GME Total Shares

Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+300K shares
1 year+8.4%+46.1M shares
3 years+94%+288M shares
5 years+104%+302M shares
Available history+80%+264M shares

GME has 593M diluted shares, up 8.4% from a year ago.

GPK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 309MQ1 2024: 309MQ2 2024: 307MQ3 2024: 303MQ4 2024: 305MQ1 2025: 303MQ2 2025: 302MQ3 2025: 298MQ4 2025: 300MQ1 2026: 297MQ2 2026: 297MQ3 2026: 297M
Q4 2023: 309MQ1 2024: 309MQ2 2024: 307MQ3 2024: 303MQ4 2024: 305MQ1 2025: 303MQ2 2025: 302MQ3 2025: 298MQ4 2025: 300MQ1 2026: 297MQ2 2026: 297MQ3 2026: 297M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+300K shares
1 year-0.2%-600K shares
3 years-3.9%-12.2M shares
5 years-3.9%-12M shares
Available history+0.7%+2.2M shares

GPK has the edge over GME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GME Net Leverage

GPK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 4.9xQ2 2026: 5.1xQ3 2026: 5.4x
Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 4.9xQ2 2026: 5.1xQ3 2026: 5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.4xHigh
Q2 20265.1xHigh
Q1 20264.9xHigh
Q4 20254.0xElevated
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

GPK's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.1 years a year ago.

GME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic68.5Neutral

GME's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

GPK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.2Neutral
Stochastic53.3Neutral

GPK's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).

GME PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGMESector medianRelative
PE17x18x7.7% below
PE %154732 pts below

GME has the edge over GPK on valuation relative to its sector.

GPK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGPKSector medianRelative
PE43x18x140% above
PE %1004753 pts above

GPK is trading at 43x earnings, a 140% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

GME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.21.8% above
20 week MA$22.415% above
50 week MA$22.613% above
100 week MA$24.07% above
200 week MA$21.817% above

GME has the edge over GPK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GPK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.3515% above
20 week MA$10.25.4% above
50 week MA$11.34.7% below
100 week MA$17.037% below
200 week MA$21.450% below

GPK has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 50% below its 200-week average.

GME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.48$5.04+241%
2021$5.04$38.0+655%
2022$38.0$20.1-47%
2023$20.1$17.5-13%
2024$17.5$32.2+84%
2025$32.2$21.1-35%
2026 YTD$21.1$25.6+21%

GME has the edge over GPK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GPK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.7$16.9+1.4%
2021$16.9$18.7+10%
2022$18.7$22.2+19%
2023$22.2$24.7+11%
2024$24.7$27.5+11%
2025$27.5$15.2-45%
2026 YTD$15.2$10.8-29%

GPK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 29% so far in 2026.

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