GLAD

Gladstone Capital Corporation

55
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

GLAD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has a slight edge over GLAD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

GLAD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Strong
N/A
N/A

GLAD's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GLAD.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

GLAD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.2x$16.39-15%
Current7.3x$19.39—
Fair9.4x$24.91+28%
Forward9.8x$19.39—
Expensive15x$39.91+106%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GLAD has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

GLAD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GLAD's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

JPM has the edge over GLAD on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

GLAD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$22.83
Downside-15%$16.55

Calculated from the latest close: $19.39 on Nov 12.

GLAD trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GLAD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GLAD Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.20Q4 2023: $2.24Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $2.17Q3 2024: $2.63Q4 2024: $2.59Q1 2025: $2.59Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.55Q4 2025: $2.29Q1 2026: $2.42Q2 2026: $2.65Forward: $1.98
Q3 2023: $2.20Q4 2023: $2.24Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $2.17Q3 2024: $2.63Q4 2024: $2.59Q1 2025: $2.59Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.55Q4 2025: $2.29Q1 2026: $2.42Q2 2026: $2.65Forward: $1.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.98-25%
Q2 2026$2.65+13%
Q1 2026$2.42-6.6%
Q4 2025$2.29-12%
Q3 2025$2.55-3%
Q2 2025$2.35+8.3%
Q1 2025$2.59+17%
Q4 2024$2.59+16%
Q3 2024$2.63+20%

GLAD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.65 over the past year, against $5.04 in late 2021.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over GLAD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GLAD Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$9M-75%
Q1 2022$12.4M-49%
Q4 2021$14.5M-6.7%
Q3 2021$36.4M+172%
Q2 2021$21.3M+22%
Q4 2020$15.5M+386%
Q3 2020$13.4M+58%

JPM has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 75% for GLAD versus up 8.1% for JPM.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

GLAD Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $23MQ4 2023: −$26MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: −$97MQ4 2025: −$34MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: −$37M
Q3 2023: $23MQ4 2023: −$26MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: −$97MQ4 2025: −$34MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: −$37M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$36.9M-281%
Q1 2026$16.6M-65%
Q4 2025-$33.8M-241%
Q3 2025-$96.6M-$90.9M
Q2 2025$20.4M-62%
Q1 2025$46.8M+$65.9M
Q4 2024$24M+$50.2M
Q3 2024-$5.7M-125%

GLAD's free cash flow was −$151M over the past year, against $85M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GLAD.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM has the edge over GLAD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GLAD Total Shares

Q3 2023: 19MQ4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28M
Q3 2023: 19MQ4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+27%+6M shares
3 years+51%+9.5M shares
5 years+68%+11.5M shares
Available history+86%+13.1M shares

GLAD has 28M diluted shares, up 27% from a year ago.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over GLAD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GLAD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20227.2xHigh
Q2 20224.8xHigh
Q1 20222.6xModerate
Q4 20212.7xModerate
Q3 20212.8xModerate
Q2 20213.4xElevated
Q1 20213.8xElevated
Q4 202020.5xHigh

GLAD's net debt is about 7.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GLAD.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

GLAD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic49.1Neutral

GLAD's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

GLAD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGLADSector medianRelative
PE7.3x13x44% below
PE %276336 pts below

GLAD has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GLAD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$19.01.8% above
20 week MA$19.40.2% above
50 week MA$19.30.5% above
100 week MA$22.514% below
200 week MA$22.012% below

GLAD has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 12% below its 200-week average.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over GLAD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GLAD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.2$17.4-14%
2021$17.4$22.3+28%
2022$22.3$19.2-14%
2023$19.2$21.4+12%
2024$21.4$28.1+31%
2025$28.1$20.5-27%
2026 YTD$20.5$19.4-5.5%

GLAD has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 5.5% so far in 2026.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over GLAD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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