GLAD

Gladstone Capital Corporation

55
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

GLAD's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 13%, but revenue fell 66%. At 7.3x earnings, it's trading below its usual 9.5x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

GLAD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Strong
N/A
N/A

GLAD's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GLAD.

GLAD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.2x$16.39-15%
Current7.3x$19.39โ€”
Fair9.4x$24.91+28%
Forward9.8x$19.39โ€”
Expensive15x$39.91+106%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GLAD's PE is in its cheap range at 7.3x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.8x, in its fair range.

GLAD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GLAD's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

GLAD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$22.83
Downside-15%$16.55

Calculated from the latest close: $19.39 on Nov 12.

GLAD's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +18% against โˆ’15%.

GLAD Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.20Q4 2023: $2.24Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $2.17Q3 2024: $2.63Q4 2024: $2.59Q1 2025: $2.59Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.55Q4 2025: $2.29Q1 2026: $2.42Q2 2026: $2.65Forward: $1.98
Q3 2023: $2.20Q4 2023: $2.24Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $2.17Q3 2024: $2.63Q4 2024: $2.59Q1 2025: $2.59Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.55Q4 2025: $2.29Q1 2026: $2.42Q2 2026: $2.65Forward: $1.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.98-25%
Q2 2026$2.65+13%
Q1 2026$2.42-6.6%
Q4 2025$2.29-12%
Q3 2025$2.55-3%
Q2 2025$2.35+8.3%
Q1 2025$2.59+17%
Q4 2024$2.59+16%
Q3 2024$2.63+20%

GLAD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.65 over the past year, against $5.04 in late 2021.

GLAD Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$9M-75%
Q1 2022$12.4M-49%
Q4 2021$14.5M-6.7%
Q3 2021$36.4M+172%
Q2 2021$21.3M+22%
Q4 2020$15.5M+386%
Q3 2020$13.4M+58%

GLAD's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $9M last quarter, down 75% from the same quarter a year ago.

GLAD Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $23MQ4 2023: โˆ’$26MQ1 2024: โˆ’$19MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: โˆ’$6MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: โˆ’$97MQ4 2025: โˆ’$34MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: โˆ’$37M
Q3 2023: $23MQ4 2023: โˆ’$26MQ1 2024: โˆ’$19MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: โˆ’$6MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: โˆ’$97MQ4 2025: โˆ’$34MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: โˆ’$37M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$36.9M-281%
Q1 2026$16.6M-65%
Q4 2025-$33.8M-241%
Q3 2025-$96.6M-$90.9M
Q2 2025$20.4M-62%
Q1 2025$46.8M+$65.9M
Q4 2024$24M+$50.2M
Q3 2024-$5.7M-125%

GLAD's free cash flow was โˆ’$151M over the past year, against $85M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GLAD.

GLAD Total Shares

Q3 2023: 19MQ4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28M
Q3 2023: 19MQ4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+27%+6M shares
3 years+51%+9.5M shares
5 years+68%+11.5M shares
Available history+86%+13.1M shares

GLAD has 28M diluted shares, up 27% from a year ago.

GLAD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20227.2xHigh
Q2 20224.8xHigh
Q1 20222.6xModerate
Q4 20212.7xModerate
Q3 20212.8xModerate
Q2 20213.4xElevated
Q1 20213.8xElevated
Q4 202020.5xHigh

GLAD's net debt is about 7.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GLAD.

GLAD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic49.1Neutral

GLAD's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

GLAD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGLADSector medianRelative
PE7.3x13x44% below
PE %276336 pts below

GLAD is trading at 7.3x earnings, a 44% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GLAD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$19.01.8% above
20 week MA$19.40.2% above
50 week MA$19.30.5% above
100 week MA$22.514% below
200 week MA$22.012% below

GLAD has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 12% below its 200-week average.

GLAD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.2$17.4-14%
2021$17.4$22.3+28%
2022$22.3$19.2-14%
2023$19.2$21.4+12%
2024$21.4$28.1+31%
2025$28.1$20.5-27%
2026 YTD$20.5$19.4-5.5%

GLAD has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 5.5% so far in 2026.

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