GLAD

Gladstone Capital Corporation

55
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

GLAD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over GLAD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

GLAD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Strong
N/A
N/A

GLAD's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GLAD.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

GLAD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.2x$16.39-15%
Current7.3x$19.39—
Fair9.4x$24.91+28%
Forward9.8x$19.39—
Expensive15x$39.91+106%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GLAD has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

GLAD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GLAD's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over GLAD on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

GLAD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$22.83
Downside-15%$16.55

Calculated from the latest close: $19.39 on Nov 12.

GLAD trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GLAD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GLAD Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.20Q4 2023: $2.24Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $2.17Q3 2024: $2.63Q4 2024: $2.59Q1 2025: $2.59Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.55Q4 2025: $2.29Q1 2026: $2.42Q2 2026: $2.65Forward: $1.98
Q3 2023: $2.20Q4 2023: $2.24Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $2.17Q3 2024: $2.63Q4 2024: $2.59Q1 2025: $2.59Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.55Q4 2025: $2.29Q1 2026: $2.42Q2 2026: $2.65Forward: $1.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.98-25%
Q2 2026$2.65+13%
Q1 2026$2.42-6.6%
Q4 2025$2.29-12%
Q3 2025$2.55-3%
Q2 2025$2.35+8.3%
Q1 2025$2.59+17%
Q4 2024$2.59+16%
Q3 2024$2.63+20%

GLAD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.65 over the past year, against $5.04 in late 2021.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over GLAD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GLAD Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$9M-75%
Q1 2022$12.4M-49%
Q4 2021$14.5M-6.7%
Q3 2021$36.4M+172%
Q2 2021$21.3M+22%
Q4 2020$15.5M+386%
Q3 2020$13.4M+58%

GS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 75% for GLAD versus up 23% for GS.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

GLAD Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $23MQ4 2023: −$26MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: −$97MQ4 2025: −$34MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: −$37M
Q3 2023: $23MQ4 2023: −$26MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: −$97MQ4 2025: −$34MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: −$37M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$36.9M-281%
Q1 2026$16.6M-65%
Q4 2025-$33.8M-241%
Q3 2025-$96.6M-$90.9M
Q2 2025$20.4M-62%
Q1 2025$46.8M+$65.9M
Q4 2024$24M+$50.2M
Q3 2024-$5.7M-125%

GLAD's free cash flow was −$151M over the past year, against $85M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GLAD.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS has the edge over GLAD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GLAD Total Shares

Q3 2023: 19MQ4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28M
Q3 2023: 19MQ4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+27%+6M shares
3 years+51%+9.5M shares
5 years+68%+11.5M shares
Available history+86%+13.1M shares

GLAD has 28M diluted shares, up 27% from a year ago.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over GLAD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GLAD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20227.2xHigh
Q2 20224.8xHigh
Q1 20222.6xModerate
Q4 20212.7xModerate
Q3 20212.8xModerate
Q2 20213.4xElevated
Q1 20213.8xElevated
Q4 202020.5xHigh

GLAD's net debt is about 7.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GLAD.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

GLAD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic49.1Neutral

GLAD's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

GLAD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGLADSector medianRelative
PE7.3x13x44% below
PE %276336 pts below

GLAD has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

GLAD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$19.01.8% above
20 week MA$19.40.2% above
50 week MA$19.30.5% above
100 week MA$22.514% below
200 week MA$22.012% below

GLAD has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 12% below its 200-week average.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

GLAD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.2$17.4-14%
2021$17.4$22.3+28%
2022$22.3$19.2-14%
2023$19.2$21.4+12%
2024$21.4$28.1+31%
2025$28.1$20.5-27%
2026 YTD$20.5$19.4-5.5%

GLAD has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 5.5% so far in 2026.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over GLAD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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