GHG
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.
GHG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has a slight edge over GHG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
GHG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
GHG's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GHG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.1x | $0.43 | -59% |
| Current | 16x | $1.03 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $1.05 | +1.6% |
| Expensive | 33x | $1.95 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GHG's PE is 16x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GHG Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for GHG to show an outlook.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GHG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.06 | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.18 | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.31 | +94% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.27 | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.28 | +460% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.23 | +64% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.16 | +60% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.23 | +92% |
GHG has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
GHG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $35.2M | -20% |
| Q1 2026 | $34.2M | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $32.2M | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $45.6M | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $43.9M | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $43.9M | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $45.7M | -18% |
| Q3 2024 | $53.6M | -11% |
GHG's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $35M last quarter, down 20% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | -3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -7% | +26 points |
| Q3 2025 | 23% | -6.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 16% | -10 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | -4.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -33% | -46 points |
| Q3 2024 | 30% | +29 points |
GHG has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over GHG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
GHG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.6M | -65% |
| Q1 2026 | $961.8K | -79% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.8M | -180% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3M | -116% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5M | -49% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.5M | -62% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.5M | +$7.8M |
| Q3 2024 | $19.6M | +6.8% |
GHG's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$3M over the past year.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has the edge over GHG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
GHG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | -0.5% | -503K shares |
| 3 years | -1.3% | -1.3M shares |
| 5 years | -2.1% | -2.2M shares |
| Available history | -1.3% | -1.3M shares |
GHG has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $9,779 |
| Q3 2024 | $45,040 |
GHG hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
GHG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
GHG has more cash than debt.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GHG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 30.0 | Neutral |
GHG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
GHG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GHG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 18x | 9.3% below |
| PE % | 46 | 47 | 1 pt below |
GHG is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GHG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $0.98 | 5.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $1.06 | 2.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $1.25 | 18% below |
| 100 week MA | $1.75 | 41% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.73 | 62% below |
GHG has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
GHG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $13.0 | $13.0 | 0% |
| 2021 | $13.0 | $8.51 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.51 | $3.86 | -55% |
| 2023 | $3.86 | $3.76 | -2.6% |
| 2024 | $3.76 | $2.52 | -33% |
| 2025 | $2.52 | $1.79 | -29% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.79 | $1.03 | -42% |
GHG has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's down 42% so far in 2026.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has the edge over GHG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.