GHG

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.

51
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

GHG's fundamentals are mixed: its operating margin rose 5 points to 13%, but revenue fell 21%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

GHG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

GHG's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

GHG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x78x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x78x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.1x$0.43-59%
Current16x$1.03—
Fair17x$1.05+1.6%
Expensive33x$1.95+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GHG's PE is 16x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

GHG Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for GHG to show an outlook.

GHG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$1.26
Downside-18%$0.84

Calculated from the latest close: $1.03 on Nov 12.

GHG's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +22% against −18%.

GHG Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.12Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.23Q4 2024: $0.16Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.28Q3 2025: $0.27Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.06
Q3 2023: $0.12Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.23Q4 2024: $0.16Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.28Q3 2025: $0.27Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.06-79%
Q1 2026$0.18-22%
Q4 2025$0.31+94%
Q3 2025$0.27+17%
Q2 2025$0.28+460%
Q1 2025$0.23+64%
Q4 2024$0.16+60%
Q3 2024$0.23+92%

GHG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.06 over the past year, against $0.65 in late 2019.

GHG Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $60MQ4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $35M
Q3 2023: $60MQ4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $35M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$35.2M-20%
Q1 2026$34.2M-22%
Q4 2025$32.2M-30%
Q3 2025$45.6M-15%
Q2 2025$43.9M-11%
Q1 2025$43.9M-17%
Q4 2024$45.7M-18%
Q3 2024$53.6M-11%

GHG's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $35M last quarter, down 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

GHG Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $18MQ4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $961,771Q2 2026: $2M
Q3 2023: $18MQ4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $961,771Q2 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$1.6M-65%
Q1 2026$961.8K-79%
Q4 2025-$2.8M-180%
Q3 2025-$3M-116%
Q2 2025$4.5M-49%
Q1 2025$4.5M-62%
Q4 2024$3.5M+$7.8M
Q3 2024$19.6M+6.8%

GHG's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$3M over the past year.

GHG Total Shares

Q3 2023: 103MQ4 2023: 102MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 101MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 101MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 101M
Q3 2023: 103MQ4 2023: 102MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 101MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 101MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 101M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-0.5%-503K shares
3 years-1.3%-1.3M shares
5 years-2.1%-2.2M shares
Available history-1.3%-1.3M shares

GHG has 101M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GHG Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.8xQ4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.6x
Q3 2023: 1.8xQ4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low
Q3 20240.5xVery low

GHG has more cash than debt.

GHG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.8Neutral
Stochastic30.0Neutral

GHG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

GHG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGHGSector medianRelative
PE16x18x9.3% below
PE %46471 pt below

GHG is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

GHG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.985.1% above
20 week MA$1.062.8% below
50 week MA$1.2518% below
100 week MA$1.7541% below
200 week MA$2.7362% below

GHG has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 62% below its 200-week average.

GHG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.0$13.00%
2021$13.0$8.51-35%
2022$8.51$3.86-55%
2023$3.86$3.76-2.6%
2024$3.76$2.52-33%
2025$2.52$1.79-29%
2026 YTD$1.79$1.03-42%

GHG has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's down 42% so far in 2026.

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