GHG

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.

51
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

GHG trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over GHG overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

GHG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

GHG's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

GHG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x78x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x78x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.1x$0.43-59%
Current16x$1.03—
Fair17x$1.05+1.6%
Expensive33x$1.95+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GHG's PE is 16x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over GHG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GHG Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for GHG to show an outlook.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GHG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$1.26
Downside-18%$0.84

Calculated from the latest close: $1.03 on Nov 12.

GHG trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside for the same potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GHG, with more potential upside for the same potential downside.

GHG Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.12Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.23Q4 2024: $0.16Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.28Q3 2025: $0.27Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.06
Q3 2023: $0.12Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.23Q4 2024: $0.16Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.28Q3 2025: $0.27Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.06-79%
Q1 2026$0.18-22%
Q4 2025$0.31+94%
Q3 2025$0.27+17%
Q2 2025$0.28+460%
Q1 2025$0.23+64%
Q4 2024$0.16+60%
Q3 2024$0.23+92%

GHG has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

GHG Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $60MQ4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $35M
Q3 2023: $60MQ4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $35M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$35.2M-20%
Q1 2026$34.2M-22%
Q4 2025$32.2M-30%
Q3 2025$45.6M-15%
Q2 2025$43.9M-11%
Q1 2025$43.9M-17%
Q4 2024$45.7M-18%
Q3 2024$53.6M-11%

GHG's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $35M last quarter, down 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE has the edge over GHG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GHG Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $18MQ4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $961,771Q2 2026: $2M
Q3 2023: $18MQ4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $961,771Q2 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$1.6M-65%
Q1 2026$961.8K-79%
Q4 2025-$2.8M-180%
Q3 2025-$3M-116%
Q2 2025$4.5M-49%
Q1 2025$4.5M-62%
Q4 2024$3.5M+$7.8M
Q3 2024$19.6M+6.8%

GHG's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$3M over the past year.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE has the edge over GHG on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GHG Total Shares

Q3 2023: 103MQ4 2023: 102MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 101MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 101MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 101M
Q3 2023: 103MQ4 2023: 102MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 101MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 101MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 101M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-0.5%-503K shares
3 years-1.3%-1.3M shares
5 years-2.1%-2.2M shares
Available history-1.3%-1.3M shares

GHG has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GHG Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.8xQ4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.6x
Q3 2023: 1.8xQ4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low
Q3 20240.5xVery low

GHG has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

GHG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.8Neutral
Stochastic30.0Neutral

GHG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

GHG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGHGSector medianRelative
PE16x18x9.3% below
PE %46471 pt below

GHG has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

GHG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.985.1% above
20 week MA$1.062.8% below
50 week MA$1.2518% below
100 week MA$1.7541% below
200 week MA$2.7362% below

GHG has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 62% below its 200-week average.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

GHG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.0$13.00%
2021$13.0$8.51-35%
2022$8.51$3.86-55%
2023$3.86$3.76-2.6%
2024$3.76$2.52-33%
2025$2.52$1.79-29%
2026 YTD$1.79$1.03-42%

GHG has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's down 42% so far in 2026.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has the edge over GHG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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