GHG
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.
GHG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID has a slight edge over GHG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
GHG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
GHG's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GHG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.1x | $0.43 | -59% |
| Current | 16x | $1.03 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $1.05 | +1.6% |
| Expensive | 33x | $1.95 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GHG's PE is 16x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GHG Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for GHG to show an outlook.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GHG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.06 | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.18 | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.31 | +94% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.27 | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.28 | +460% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.23 | +64% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.16 | +60% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.23 | +92% |
GHG has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
GHG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $35.2M | -20% |
| Q1 2026 | $34.2M | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $32.2M | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $45.6M | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $43.9M | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $43.9M | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $45.7M | -18% |
| Q3 2024 | $53.6M | -11% |
GHG's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $35M last quarter, down 20% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | -3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -7% | +26 points |
| Q3 2025 | 23% | -6.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 16% | -10 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | -4.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -33% | -46 points |
| Q3 2024 | 30% | +29 points |
GHG has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over GHG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
GHG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.6M | -65% |
| Q1 2026 | $961.8K | -79% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.8M | -180% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3M | -116% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5M | -49% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.5M | -62% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.5M | +$7.8M |
| Q3 2024 | $19.6M | +6.8% |
GHG has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
GHG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | -0.5% | -503K shares |
| 3 years | -1.3% | -1.3M shares |
| 5 years | -2.1% | -2.2M shares |
| Available history | -1.3% | -1.3M shares |
GHG has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $9,779 |
| Q3 2024 | $45,040 |
GHG hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
GHG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
GHG has more cash than debt.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GHG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 30.0 | Neutral |
GHG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
GHG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GHG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 18x | 9.3% below |
| PE % | 46 | 47 | 1 pt below |
GHG is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GHG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $0.98 | 5.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $1.06 | 2.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $1.25 | 18% below |
| 100 week MA | $1.75 | 41% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.73 | 62% below |
GHG has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
GHG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $13.0 | $13.0 | 0% |
| 2021 | $13.0 | $8.51 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.51 | $3.86 | -55% |
| 2023 | $3.86 | $3.76 | -2.6% |
| 2024 | $3.76 | $2.52 | -33% |
| 2025 | $2.52 | $1.79 | -29% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.79 | $1.03 | -42% |
GHG has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.