GFL
GFL Environmental Inc.
GFL has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co
VRT has the edge over GFL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
GFL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
GFL's revenue is currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
VRT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
GFL PE Valuation
GFL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VRT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 23x | $210 | — |
| Current | 39x | $210 | — |
| Cheap | 58x | $308 | +47% |
| Fair | 72x | $383 | +83% |
| Expensive | 88x | $472 | +125% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VRT's PE is in its cheap range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.
GFL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GFL, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
VRT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
VRT has the edge over GFL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
GFL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.73 | -111% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.49 | -108% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.31 | -94% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.83 | +$8.33 |
| Q3 2025 | $6.42 | +$7.70 |
| Q2 2025 | $6.38 | +$7.78 |
| Q1 2025 | $4.97 | +$4.97 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.50 | -$1.46 |
GFL has swung to a loss: it lost $0.73 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
VRT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.14 | +71% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.35 | +102% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.98 | +131% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.41 | +166% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.65 | +75% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.09 | +62% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.72 | +64% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.28 | +7.6% |
VRT has the edge over GFL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
GFL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B | +5.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +9% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2B | +5.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | +5.5% |
GFL's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $1.5B last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.9% | -2.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5.6% | -3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2.1% | +2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.5% | +3.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.6% | +3.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1% | -1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.3% | +3.6 points |
GFL's operating margin was 6.9% last quarter, down 2.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
VRT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.3B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +29% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +26% |
VRT has the edge over GFL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +3.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +4.2 points |
VRT has the edge over GFL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GFL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $88.6M | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $85.7M | +613% |
| Q1 2026 | -$160.5M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $138.5M | -21% |
| Q3 2025 | $71.4M | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $12M | -62% |
| Q1 2025 | -$99.2M | -$84M |
| Q4 2024 | $174.4M | +46% |
GFL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $152M over the past year.
VRT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $654.9M | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $926.5M | +233% |
| Q1 2026 | $654.2M | +145% |
| Q4 2025 | $885.6M | +143% |
| Q3 2025 | $463.5M | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $277.9M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $266.8M | +162% |
| Q4 2024 | $364.5M | +18% |
VRT has the edge over GFL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
GFL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +6.7% | +24.3M shares |
| 1 year | +4.2% | +15.4M shares |
| 3 years | +4.4% | +16.1M shares |
| 5 years | +6.5% | +23.6M shares |
| Available history | +7% | +25.3M shares |
GFL has 386M diluted shares, up 4.2% from a year ago, despite $197M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $9.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $40.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $146.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $243.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $195.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B |
| Q4 2024 | — |
GFL spent $197M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 90% from the year before.
VRT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -64.9K shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +4.4M shares |
| 5 years | +10% | +36M shares |
| Available history | +63% | +152M shares |
VRT has the edge over GFL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | $599.9M |
GFL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.6x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 5.6x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.2x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 6.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 9.7x | High |
GFL's net debt is about 6.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.2 years a year ago.
VRT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
VRT has the edge over GFL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
GFL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 70.0 | Neutral |
GFL's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).
VRT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.4 | Neutral |
VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
GFL PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | GFL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
GFL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VRT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | VRT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 24x | 63% above |
| PE % | 3 | 58 | 55 pts below |
VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
GFL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $43.7 | 4.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $42.2 | 0.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $41.3 | 1.5% above |
| 100 week MA | $44.2 | 5.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $39.9 | 5.2% above |
GFL's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 5.2% above its 200-week average.
VRT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.8 | 5.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $254.4 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $253.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $189.1 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $123.5 | 70% above |
VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.
GFL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $17.0 | $28.2 | +66% |
| 2021 | $28.2 | $38.0 | +35% |
| 2022 | $38.0 | $28.2 | -26% |
| 2023 | $28.2 | $34.5 | +22% |
| 2024 | $34.5 | $44.6 | +29% |
| 2025 | $44.6 | $43.2 | -3% |
| 2026 YTD | $43.2 | $41.9 | -3% |
GFL has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 3% so far in 2026.
VRT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.9 | $18.9 | +73% |
| 2021 | $18.9 | $24.9 | +31% |
| 2022 | $24.9 | $12.8 | -48% |
| 2023 | $12.8 | $48.0 | +275% |
| 2024 | $48.0 | $115.1 | +140% |
| 2025 | $115.1 | $167.6 | +46% |
| 2026 YTD | $167.6 | $209.6 | +25% |
VRT has the edge over GFL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.