GCT

GigaCloud Technology Inc.

68
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation35/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

GCT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MU

Micron Technology, Inc.

96
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MU has the edge over GCT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

GCT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

GCT's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

MU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

MU's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

GCT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.7x$31.18-52%
Fair9.6x$44.23-32%
Forward12x$64.79—
Expensive13x$58.32-10%
Current14x$64.79—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GCT's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

MU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$798—
Cheap10x$777-2.7%
Current11x$798—
Fair22x$1,646+106%
Expensive32x$2,404+201%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MU has the edge over GCT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GCT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GCT, with profitability improving.

MU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MU, with profitability improving.

GCT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$107.72
Downside-36%$41.55

Calculated from the latest close: $64.79 on Nov 12.

GCT trails MU on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+219%$2,544.93
Downside-15%$674.73

Calculated from the latest close: $798.44 on Nov 12.

MU has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GCT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GCT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.30Q1 2024: $2.57Q2 2024: $2.77Q3 2024: $3.16Q4 2024: $3.05Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.33Q3 2025: $3.34Q4 2025: $3.59Q1 2026: $3.95Q2 2026: $4.20Q3 2026: $4.62Forward: $5.61
Q4 2023: $2.30Q1 2024: $2.57Q2 2024: $2.77Q3 2024: $3.16Q4 2024: $3.05Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.33Q3 2025: $3.34Q4 2025: $3.59Q1 2026: $3.95Q2 2026: $4.20Q3 2026: $4.62Forward: $5.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.61+21%
Q3 2026$4.62+38%
Q2 2026$4.20+26%
Q1 2026$3.95+29%
Q4 2025$3.59+18%
Q3 2025$3.34+5.7%
Q2 2025$3.33+20%
Q1 2025$3.07+19%
Q4 2024$3.05+33%

GCT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.62 over the past year, up 38% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

MU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$174.95+135%
Q3 2026$74.33+879%
Q2 2026$44.17+693%
Q1 2026$21.18+405%
Q4 2025$10.52+201%
Q3 2025$7.59+984%
Q2 2025$5.57+$6.99
Q1 2025$4.19+$7.64
Q4 2024$3.49+$9.77

MU's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $74.33 over the past year, about 10 times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

GCT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $245MQ1 2024: $251MQ2 2024: $311MQ3 2024: $303MQ4 2024: $296MQ1 2025: $272MQ2 2025: $323MQ3 2025: $333MQ4 2025: $363MQ1 2026: $359MQ2 2026: $412MQ3 2026: $424M
Q4 2023: $245MQ1 2024: $251MQ2 2024: $311MQ3 2024: $303MQ4 2024: $296MQ1 2025: $272MQ2 2025: $323MQ3 2025: $333MQ4 2025: $363MQ1 2026: $359MQ2 2026: $412MQ3 2026: $424M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$423.6M+27%
Q2 2026$411.6M+28%
Q1 2026$359.5M+32%
Q4 2025$362.7M+23%
Q3 2025$332.6M+9.7%
Q2 2025$322.6M+3.8%
Q1 2025$271.9M+8.3%
Q4 2024$295.8M+21%

GCT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $424M last quarter, up 27% from the same quarter a year ago.

MU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$54.2B+379%
Q2 2026$41.5B+346%
Q1 2026$23.9B+196%
Q4 2025$13.6B+57%
Q3 2025$11.3B+46%
Q2 2025$9.3B+37%
Q1 2025$8.1B+38%
Q4 2024$8.7B+84%

MU has the edge over GCT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GCT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $77MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $56M
Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $77MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $56M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$55.8M-28%
Q2 2026$45.1M+22%
Q1 2026-$26.2M-472%
Q4 2025$61.7M-7.9%
Q3 2025$77.1M+50%
Q2 2025$37M+187%
Q1 2025$7M-38%
Q4 2024$66.9M+42%

GCT generated $136M in free cash flow over the past year, down 27% from the year before.

MU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32.9B+45543%
Q2 2026$17.6B+951%
Q1 2026$5.5B+$5.6B
Q4 2025$3B+7853%
Q3 2025$72M-75%
Q2 2025$1.7B+322%
Q1 2025-$113M+$52M
Q4 2024$38M+$433M

MU has the edge over GCT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GCT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 37MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 37MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-722K shares
1 year-4.7%-1.8M shares
3 years-12%-5.1M shares
5 years-11%-4.4M shares
Available history+277%+26.3M shares

GCT has the edge over MU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-2M shares
1 year+1.6%+18M shares
3 years+4.6%+50M shares
5 years+0.2%+2M shares
Available history+1.2%+14M shares

MU has 1.1B diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.

GCT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -1.9xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -2.5xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -1.9xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -2.5xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.9xNet Cash

GCT has the edge over MU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

MU has more cash than debt.

GCT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI75.7Overbought
Stochastic79.3Neutral

GCT's weekly RSI is 76 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

MU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.1Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

MU's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

GCT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGCTSector medianRelative
PE14x28x50% below
PE %914348 pts above

GCT is trading at 14x earnings, a 50% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMUSector medianRelative
PE11x28x61% below
PE %183517 pts below

MU has the edge over GCT on valuation relative to its sector.

GCT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$57.812% above
20 week MA$50.628% above
50 week MA$44.246% above
100 week MA$33.196% above
200 week MA$25.6153% above

GCT has the edge over MU on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$914.513% below
20 week MA$931.014% below
50 week MA$685.916% above
100 week MA$405.497% above
200 week MA$246.0225% above

MU has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 225% above its 200-week average.

GCT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$48.0$5.53-88%
2023$5.53$18.3+231%
2024$18.3$17.6-4%
2025$17.6$40.2+129%
2026 YTD$40.2$64.8+61%

GCT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +231% in 2023 to −88% in 2022. It's up 61% so far in 2026.

MU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.0$70.6+31%
2021$70.6$94.4+34%
2022$94.4$50.2-47%
2023$50.2$85.3+70%
2024$85.3$88.6+3.9%
2025$88.6$284.8+221%
2026 YTD$284.8$798.4+180%

MU has the edge over GCT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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